Ethanol Output Edges Higher As Demand Softens Modestly

Ethanol plants kept production steady, but softer gasoline demand and lower exports may limit near-term momentum.

Farmland producing ethanol for the oil and gas industry. Railroad tankers cars lined up near a ethanol plant at sunset_Photo by photogrfx via AdobeStock_496174713.png

Photo by photogrfx via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — According to EIA data analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association, U.S. ethanol production moved slightly higher in the week ending May 1, even as gasoline demand and exports eased. Output rose 0.8 percent to 1.02 million barrels per day, equal to 42.71 million gallons daily. That was 0.3 percent below the same week last year but 3.4 percent above the five-year average.

The longer-term pace was weaker. The four-week average ethanol production rate slipped 2.2 percent to 1.05 million barrels per day, equal to an annualized 16.09 billion gallons. Ethanol stocks also inched higher, rising 0.5 percent to 26.0 million barrels.

Inventories were 3.3 percent above a year ago and nearly 12 percent above the five-year average. Stocks increased in every region except the East Coast, showing supply remains comfortable even with production still running near the one-million-barrel mark.

On the demand side, gasoline supplied fell 3.2 percent to 8.81 million barrels per day, a four-week low. Refiner and blender net ethanol inputs also declined 1.6 percent, while exports dropped 18.2 percent to 139,000 barrels per day.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Ethanol plants kept production steady, but softer gasoline demand and lower exports may limit near-term momentum.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
American Soybean Association President Caleb Ragland shares the soybean sector outlook following the announcement of farm aid to offset losses for U.S. row crop growers.
Stable U.S. fundamentals continue for major crops, but global adjustments in corn, soybeans, wheat, and cotton may influence early-2026 pricing.
Corn and wheat exports continue to outperform last year, while soybeans show steady but subdued movement compared to 2024.
Mold damage is tightening China’s corn supplies, supporting higher prices and creating potential demand for alternative feed grains in early 2026.
Tight Credit, Strong Yields Define Early December Agriculture

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

A narrower Section 1071 rule could reduce regulatory pressure on ag lenders while keeping credit available in rural communities.
Rising production underscores the importance of marketing discipline and margin protection as milk supplies expand.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains why the 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.
Smaller U.S. production and steady global demand could provide better pricing opportunities in 2026.
Higher yields are cushioning lower acreage, but reduced production could support firmer potato prices into 2026.
Producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.