Ethanol Production Climbs As Demand Strengthens, Exports Fall

Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.

Ethanol gasoline fuel nozzle and corn kernels. Biofuel, agriculture and fuel price concept

JJ Gouin - stock.adobe.com

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Ethanol production increased last week, providing support to corn demand even as export activity dropped sharply, according to EIA data analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association.

Production rose 0.4 percent to 1.12 million barrels per day, a five-week high and more than 10 percent above year-ago levels. The four-week average also climbed, putting output on pace for more than 17 billion gallons annually. Strong production levels continue to reinforce domestic corn usage tied to ethanol demand.

Gasoline demand — a key driver for ethanol blending — jumped 6.1 percent to a five-week high, running well above both last year and the three-year average. That strength is helping support the ethanol market despite mixed signals elsewhere.

However, ethanol exports fell sharply, dropping more than 60 percent on the week. At the same time, refiner and blender inputs declined to a six-week low, suggesting some near-term softness in blending activity.

Ethanol stocks increased 2.5 percent, with builds concentrated along the East and Gulf Coasts, adding to available supply.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Plan for a cooler global trade market in 2026 with tighter margins on exports, potential rate shifts, and premiums for reliable deliveries into Asian and African growth markets.
George Baird, with the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA), joins us with updates on how this year’s rice harvest is shaping up.
Expect firm demand for dependable HRS and SW, steady movement in HRW, more sorting on SRW, and selective bids on durum until full milling results are released.
Market analyst Kevin Huddleston said news of trade deals could rebound cotton prices in late fall, and producers need to be ready to strike deals.
Lewis Williamson, from HTS Commodities, joined us to share insights on the farm economy from producers in the field.
Congress has just over a month of working days left for the year. Plan for uneven USDA service until funding is restored, and closely monitor Farm Bill talks, as avoiding Permanent Law before January 1 is the single biggest risk to markets and milk prices.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Disease risks remain a key factor to watch heading into fall.
For rural communities, this shift could mean new housing options for farmworkers and young families priced out of metro markets.
The modest cut should slightly reduce borrowing costs on operating loans, land notes, and equipment financing for agriculture, giving some relief to producers under heavy debt loads.
Sen. Roger Marshall, a founding member and chairman of the Make America Healthy Again caucus, joined us with his thoughts on the commission’s latest report and the key ag-related issues.
Produce markets are in transition as fall approaches, with leafy greens and berries under pressure, while vegetables like celery, broccoli, and cauliflower are finding firmer ground.
Grain shippers face lower freight values thanks to weak soybean exports and strong rail service, but barge traffic and forward Gulf loadings suggest continued uncertainty as harvest ramps up.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.