Ethanol Production Climbs As Demand Strengthens, Exports Fall

Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.

Ethanol gasoline fuel nozzle and corn kernels. Biofuel, agriculture and fuel price concept

JJ Gouin - stock.adobe.com

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Ethanol production increased last week, providing support to corn demand even as export activity dropped sharply, according to EIA data analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association.

Production rose 0.4 percent to 1.12 million barrels per day, a five-week high and more than 10 percent above year-ago levels. The four-week average also climbed, putting output on pace for more than 17 billion gallons annually. Strong production levels continue to reinforce domestic corn usage tied to ethanol demand.

Gasoline demand — a key driver for ethanol blending — jumped 6.1 percent to a five-week high, running well above both last year and the three-year average. That strength is helping support the ethanol market despite mixed signals elsewhere.

However, ethanol exports fell sharply, dropping more than 60 percent on the week. At the same time, refiner and blender inputs declined to a six-week low, suggesting some near-term softness in blending activity.

Ethanol stocks increased 2.5 percent, with builds concentrated along the East and Gulf Coasts, adding to available supply.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Wheat futures briefly hit a three-month high before retreating as the markets wait for word on whether the deal will actually happen.
According to Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins, the top three soy-crushing companies in Bangladesh agreed to buy $1 billion worth of U.S. soybeans over the next year.
A strong corn export pull is supportive of bids; soybeans need steady vessel programs or fresh sales to firm cash.
China’s crusher losses and Brazil tensions, Gale warns, could reopen critical soybean trade channels for U.S. producers.
Persistently low Mississippi River levels are turning logistics challenges into pricing risks — tightening margins for grain producers and exporters across the heartland.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

With China halting U.S. soybean purchases and talks tied to broader strategic issues, growers face renewed export uncertainty.
Talks highlight the widening role of agriculture in U.S.–India trade policy, though neither side appears ready for major concessions before tariff issues and oil imports are resolved.
Southern farms are deepening online engagement for cost savings and market access, while higher-cost precision technologies face renewed scrutiny amid tight budgets.
Global trade teams and summit discussions highlight expanding opportunities for U.S. corn and ethanol exports as nations explore renewable fuel options and reduced-carbon energy pathways.
Slightly higher output amid softer gasoline pull points to steady corn grind — watch regional stocks and export pace for basis clues.
Expect firm calf and fed-cattle prices — pair selective heifer retention with prudent hedging and liquidity to bridge rebuilding costs.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.