Farm Debt Signals Show Pressure on Operating Loans

Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.

frozen funds usda money farm programs_Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Farm operating debt remains mostly stable across the South, but late-loan categories are showing pressure after a difficult year for row-crop margins. Charley Martinez with the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture says non-real estate farm loans were 4 percent higher in the fourth quarter of 2025 than a year earlier.

The biggest concern is loan quality. Martinez says non-accrual loans stayed elevated from the previous quarter and were 172 percent higher than in the fourth quarter of 2024. Loans 90 days or more past due were nearly unchanged from a year earlier.

Loans 30 to 89 days late fell from their first-quarter peak, but Martinez says some of that debt likely moved into the non-accrual category by year-end. That category still remained 35 percent higher than fourth-quarter 2024.

State pressure varied. Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas were above the regional average for total late debt as a share of total loan volume.

Higher crop prices and future ARC and PLC payments may help, but input costs, interest rates, and tight margins keep working capital important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
A rapidly intensifying winter storm is expected to develop into a bomb cyclone this weekend, affecting the Southeast, southern Virginia, and potentially parts of the mid‑Atlantic and New England.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
AFBF Economist Danny Munch shares a closer look at the dairy market and the forces impacting producers today.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer helps producers navigate farm program payments and understand the key details farmers need to know.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

A new study found that retaining the EPA’s half-RIN credit protects soybean demand, farm income, and crushing-sector strength while preserving biofuel market flexibility.
Rising federal debt is increasing pressure on Washington to limit spending, which could tighten future funding and delivery for agricultural programs.
Freight Softens as Producers Plan 2026 Budgets Nationwide
“I’m not sure where this bridge goes,” trader Brady Huck with Advanced Trading told RFD-TV News earlier this week.
Plan for sharp, short-term volatility after unexpected outages; permanent closures rarely trigger major price spread disruptions.
Ethanol output softened, but underlying supply-and-demand trends indicate stable longer-term use despite short-term volatility in blending and exports.