Farm Prices Fall While Input Costs Continue Rising

Falling commodity prices and rising costs continue to squeeze farm margins.

IMG_9215.jpg

FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Farm profitability tightened further to begin 2026 as falling commodity prices collided with rising production costs, according to the USDA’s latest Agricultural Prices report released February 27. The widening gap between prices received and prices paid signals ongoing margin pressure across U.S. agriculture.

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service reported the January Prices Received Index fell 3.9 percent from December and dropped 10 percent from a year earlier to 116.5. Crop prices drove much of the decline, with the Crop Production Index down 6.7 percent month over month, despite remaining slightly above last year’s level. Lower prices for soybeans, milk, lettuce, and eggs weighed on returns, while cattle, calves, broilers, and apples posted gains.

At the same time, producer expenses continued climbing. The Prices Paid Index rose 3.5 percent from December and stood 8 percent above January 2025 levels. Higher costs for feeder cattle, feeder pigs, taxes, and services offset modest relief from lower diesel fuel, interest, and feed costs.

Operationally, the ratio of prices received to prices paid dropped to 74, down from 79 in December and 88 a year ago — a key indicator showing shrinking purchasing power for farm income.

The report also noted temporary adjustments to cost indexes due to delayed federal inflation data, which will be revised once updated figures are available.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Falling commodity prices and rising costs continue squeezing farm margins.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Farm Bureau economist Danny Munch explains the importance of timely enrollment, and how the program helps dairy producers safeguard their operations against volatile milk markets.
USDA Farmer Bridge Assistance payments could begin this weekend as producers face tight margins, shifting acreage expectations, cattle herd contraction, and growing pressure for a stronger farm safety net.
Delays on year-round E15 keep potential corn demand and fuel savings in limbo.
Higher energy costs ripple through local farm supply chains.
Strong export demand supports barge markets, but weather risks remain.
A stalled World Trade Organization appeals body increases long-term trade policy risk for U.S. agriculture.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Nick Westgerdes of the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers breaks down farmland values, rental rates, and sales trends in Illinois, while previewing the upcoming land values conference for 2026.
Land equity protects solvency but does not replace profitability.
Canal consolidation during expansion could support export stability, but producers should watch for scheduling or policy changes.
Corn export pace remains the bright spot, but stable ethanol export demand remains a critical support for corn markets.
Rail consolidation could affect grain basis, freight rates, and service reliability across major producing regions.
For communities that depend on agriculture as their primary economic engine, the recession is not defined by headlines on Wall Street. It is defined by the quiet disappearance of the businesses that once processed, serviced, and supported the crop.