NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — U.S. feed grain markets enter early 2026 with strong export demand providing support, even as drought conditions and mixed outside market signals shape price risk, according to analysis from Texas A&M AgriLife Extension economist Dr. Mark Welch.
Corn export sales remain a clear bright spot. As of mid-December, cumulative corn export commitments reached 1.96 billion bushels — 61 percent of USDA’s record 3.2-billion-bushel marketing-year target. That pace is well ahead of the typical 55 percent booked by late December, with Mexico accounting for a large share of recent sales. Grain sorghum exports are also improving, with China returning as a buyer and commitments reaching 35 percent of the annual target.
Cash markets reflect steady demand but cautious pricing. Texas corn basis remains firm relative to futures, supported by feed and export channels, while sorghum prices lag corn due to weaker basis levels.
Outside markets add mixed signals. Economic growth remains strong, but lower energy prices and a weaker dollar could influence export competitiveness moving forward.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong export demand supports feed grain prices, but drought risk and seasonal patterns favor disciplined early-year marketing.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Sen. Deb Fischer reintroduces the HAULS Act to update hours-of-service exemptions and definitions affecting livestock and agricultural haulers. She joins us on Market Day Report to share more about her proposed legislation.
January 06, 2026 01:28 PM
·
Corn export strength remains a key demand anchor, while China’s continued involvement in soybeans and sorghum bears close watching for price direction.
January 06, 2026 01:12 PM
·
Strong crush demand and rising ethanol production are pressuring feedstocks, as traders monitor storage risks and supply chain uncertainty and await the upcoming January WASDE report.
January 06, 2026 01:04 PM
·
The U.S. Meat Export Federation plans to expand its global market presence in the New Year and says it is focusing its appeal on the growing middle class worldwide.
January 06, 2026 12:21 PM
·
Preserving equity through active risk management remains critical in a volatile, supply-driven market.
January 06, 2026 06:00 AM
·
USDA data indicates that 13.7 percent of U.S. households experienced food insecurity in 2024, the highest rate since 2014, even as most households remained food secure.
January 05, 2026 03:58 PM
·
Weather, Tight Supplies, and Planning Shape Farm Decisions
January 05, 2026 03:23 PM
·
Bigger cows must wean proportionally heavier calves to justify higher ownership costs.
January 05, 2026 03:08 PM
·
Improving consumer confidence supports baseline food and fuel demand, but cautious spending limits upside potential for ag markets in 2026.
January 05, 2026 03:00 PM
·
