NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — U.S. feed grain markets enter early 2026 with strong export demand providing support, even as drought conditions and mixed outside market signals shape price risk, according to analysis from Texas A&M AgriLife Extension economist Dr. Mark Welch.
Corn export sales remain a clear bright spot. As of mid-December, cumulative corn export commitments reached 1.96 billion bushels — 61 percent of USDA’s record 3.2-billion-bushel marketing-year target. That pace is well ahead of the typical 55 percent booked by late December, with Mexico accounting for a large share of recent sales. Grain sorghum exports are also improving, with China returning as a buyer and commitments reaching 35 percent of the annual target.
Cash markets reflect steady demand but cautious pricing. Texas corn basis remains firm relative to futures, supported by feed and export channels, while sorghum prices lag corn due to weaker basis levels.
Outside markets add mixed signals. Economic growth remains strong, but lower energy prices and a weaker dollar could influence export competitiveness moving forward.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong export demand supports feed grain prices, but drought risk and seasonal patterns favor disciplined early-year marketing.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
The failure of a grain elevator can cause large problems for farmers and for the local community it serves. A farmer who knows their rights and where they stand if an elevator fails can be in a better position than those farmers who aren’t as well informed. That is the topic of today’s blog post by RFD-TV Legal Contributor Roger A. McEowen.
October 04, 2023 02:46 PM
·
A recent news story involving a group of farmers in Mississippi reveals the potential downside of selling grain under a deferred payment contract. The risk of deferred payment ag commodity sales and what can be done for protection—that is the topic of today’s blog post.
October 02, 2023 03:12 PM
·
The USDA’s latest crop forecast for corn and soybean production will impact U.S. producers as well as make an impact on global trade.
September 20, 2023 12:25 PM
·
Researchers at the Boyce Thompson Institute have constructed the perfect watermelon—returning “lost” genes from the domesticated fruit’s wild relatives that improve both taste and resilience during the growing process.
August 14, 2023 03:31 PM
·
Researchers at Florida Atlantic University’s
Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute found human sewage, not fertilizer, is mainly responsible for dangerous nitrogen levels in Florida’s Indian River Lagoon.
A new study identified compounds within a “failed” tuberculosis treatment that effectively fight some herbicide-resistant “superweeds” in Australia. Researchers say their findings could be a “game-changer for the agriculture sector.”
In today’s Performance Through Partnership feature, brought to you by Golden Harvest, we meet farmer Kevin Siffring of Surprise, Nebraska.
Chris Weaver, a sixth generation farmer in Finksburg, Maryland, talks about his successful relationship with his partners on the Golden Harvest Agronomy Team for his soybean and corn operation.
