Grain Logistics Mixed As Rail Slows, Barges Rise

Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.

View of Panama Canal from cruise ship_Photo by Solarisys via AdobeStock_314732737.jpg

View of the Panama Canal from a cruise ship.

Photo by Solarisys via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — U.S. grain transportation showed mixed signals late in February as rail volumes softened while barge activity and export shipping remained firm, reflecting shifting logistics demand across export corridors.

Rail traffic weakened week-to-week but remained strong overall. U.S. Class I railroads originated 28,838 grain carloads for the week ending February 21 — down 15 percent from the previous week but up 46 percent year over year and 22 percent above the three-year average. Secondary railcar markets tightened modestly, with March shuttle bids averaging $350 above tariff and non-shuttle bids averaging $29 above tariff.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

River movements strengthened. Barged grain shipments totaled 579,122 tons for the week ending February 28, rising 16 percent from the previous week and 37 percent from last year. Downriver traffic also increased, with 406 barges moving south and unloadings in the New Orleans region up 8 percent.

Ocean demand stayed solid. Gulf exporters loaded 34 oceangoing vessels for the week ending February 26 — up 26 percent year over year — with 48 vessels scheduled in the following 10 days. Shipping rates to Japan were steady from the Gulf and slightly higher from the Pacific Northwest.

Fuel costs rose, with average diesel climbing to $3.897 per gallon, adding pressure to freight margins.

Related Stories
A disciplined, breakeven-based marketing plan helps protect margins and reduce risk, even when markets remain unpredictable.
RFD News correspondent Frank McCaffrey reports from Texas on the ongoing water dispute and its implications for U.S. farmers.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney discusses the latest developments in the Supreme Court, trade tariffs, and the future of the USMCA under President Donald Trump.
Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.
China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
USDA flash corn sales, Cattle on Feed and Inventory reports, and beef packer antitrust concerns dominate January agricultural market news.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Reduced winter placements indicate tighter fed cattle supplies and greater leverage during peak-demand months.
Federal nutrition policy is signaling a stronger demand for whole foods produced by U.S. farmers and ranchers. Consumer-facing guidance favors animal protein, but institutional demand may change little under existing saturated fat limits.
Farmer Bridge payments are being used primarily to reduce debt and protect cash flow, not drive new spending. Curt Blades with the Association of Equipment Manufacturers joined us to provide insight into the ag equipment market and the factors influencing sales.
Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
Retail pricing confirms tight cattle supplies and supports continued leverage for producers, reinforcing the need for disciplined risk management.
Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.