Grain Logistics Mixed As Rail Slows, Barges Rise

Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.

View of Panama Canal from cruise ship_Photo by Solarisys via AdobeStock_314732737.jpg

View of the Panama Canal from a cruise ship.

Photo by Solarisys via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — U.S. grain transportation showed mixed signals late in February as rail volumes softened while barge activity and export shipping remained firm, reflecting shifting logistics demand across export corridors.

Rail traffic weakened week-to-week but remained strong overall. U.S. Class I railroads originated 28,838 grain carloads for the week ending February 21 — down 15 percent from the previous week but up 46 percent year over year and 22 percent above the three-year average. Secondary railcar markets tightened modestly, with March shuttle bids averaging $350 above tariff and non-shuttle bids averaging $29 above tariff.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

River movements strengthened. Barged grain shipments totaled 579,122 tons for the week ending February 28, rising 16 percent from the previous week and 37 percent from last year. Downriver traffic also increased, with 406 barges moving south and unloadings in the New Orleans region up 8 percent.

Ocean demand stayed solid. Gulf exporters loaded 34 oceangoing vessels for the week ending February 26 — up 26 percent year over year — with 48 vessels scheduled in the following 10 days. Shipping rates to Japan were steady from the Gulf and slightly higher from the Pacific Northwest.

Fuel costs rose, with average diesel climbing to $3.897 per gallon, adding pressure to freight margins.

Related Stories
Prepare for acute UAN risk and a brief urea shock; maintain steady ammonia and phosphate plans, and monitor potash basis on the coasts.
“A government shutdown impacts all Americans and has serious consequences, including for farmers. It just adds additional uncertainty, disrupts critical services.”
Agricultural exports continue to be a key contributor to rural employment. However, rural businesses still struggle to fill numerous job openings.
Dave Kestel, a farmer from Will County and member of the Illinois Farm Bureau, joins us to share a boots-on-the-ground update on the 2025 corn harvest.
American Coalition for Ethanol’s Ron Lamberty shares the significance of California’s approval, opening up the country’s largest gasoline market to a cleaner-burning, often lower-cost fuel option.
University of Illinois Ag Economist Gary Schnitker says early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
ock NH3 early, track China’s Oct. 15 call and any U.S. Russia-UAN action, stay nimble on urea, and budget cautiously for high-priced phosphate.
Expect business-as-usual for most container exports.
Searches for “struggle meal” hit a record high in September, and #strugglemeals posts are climbing on Instagram and TikTok, reflecting a wave of budget-cooking content.
Considering raising your own replacements instead of buying bred heifers? Three key factors to consider before investing capital.
Reliable, clearly graded middle meats still anchor demand; programs that deliver consistent eating quality and simple, confidence-building menus capture more repeat visits—and more value—back through the beef chain.