NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. grain transportation showed mixed but generally supportive signals in early December as rail volumes strengthened, barge movement rebounded, and fuel costs eased. Higher rail originations and lower diesel prices are helping offset seasonal logistical challenges for producers and shippers.
Class I railroads originated more than 30,700 grain carloads for the week ending December 6, up 20 percent from the prior week and well above both last year and the three-year average. Shuttle railcar premiums declined from the previous week but remain elevated compared with a year ago, while non-shuttle markets softened below tariff levels, signaling improved near-term availability.
Barge traffic also recovered sharply. Grain movements totaled nearly 888,000 tons, up 62 percent week over week, as more barges moved downriver. However, unloadings in the New Orleans region fell, reflecting lingering river and weather-related constraints.
Export loading remained slower than last year, with fewer vessels scheduled at Gulf terminals, though ocean freight rates to Japan edged lower from both Gulf and Pacific Northwest origins. Diesel prices declined nearly six cents per gallon, offering modest cost relief.
Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
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From rising trade tensions in Europe to a pending Supreme Court decision on tariffs and shifting demand from China, global trade policy spearheaded by President Donald Trump continues to shape the outlook for U.S. agriculture—adding uncertainty as farmers navigate another volatile year.
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The Surface Transportation Board rejects the proposed Norfolk Southern–Union Pacific merger, prompting concerns from agricultural shippers about rail consolidation, service reliability, and higher transportation costs.
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Freight volatility and route selection remain critical to soybean export margins and competitiveness.
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Strong balance sheets still matter, but liquidity, planning, and lender relationships are critical as ag credit tightens, according to analysis from AgAmerica Lending.
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While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.
January 18, 2026 12:00 PM
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