Grain Transportation Mixed as Costs Edge Higher Nationwide

Adequate transportation capacity exists, but fuel costs and soft river demand could widen basis risk.

Gail_Starkweather_10_22_15_USA_IA_Starkweather_Farm_051.jpg

Starkweather Farm

FarmHER, Inc.

LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD NEWS)Grain movement remains active across export channels, but uneven demand and rising fuel costs are shaping marketing opportunities heading toward spring delivery windows.

Railroads originated 27,733 grain carloads for the week ending January 31 — 9 percent above last year and 6 percent above the three-year average. Secondary shuttle bids dropped sharply week to week, signaling adequate railcar supply.

River traffic improved but remained historically weak. Barged grain totaled 265,900 tons, up 40 percent from the prior week but still 57 percent below a year ago. Gulf unloads fell 13 percent, pointing to a slower export pull-through.

Ocean demand strengthened as 39 vessels loaded at the Gulf, 18 percent above last year. Freight to Japan increased to $53.75 per metric ton from the Gulf and $30 from the Pacific Northwest.

Diesel averaged $3.688 per gallon, slightly above last year, keeping shipping costs elevated into planting season.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Adequate transportation capacity exists, but fuel costs and soft river demand could widen basis risk.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Tariffs are pushing up input costs, with fertilizer prices rising $100 per ton and machinery costs climbing due to steel and parts duties.
Year-round sales of E-15 are another major topic on Capitol Hill, which, according to Rep. Adrian Smith (R-NE), is one issue up for debate this session with significant bipartisan support.
American Soybean Association President Caleb Ragland joins us to share his reaction to September’s WASDE and discuss the trade uncertainty between China and his industry.
Harvested acres are estimated at 90.0 million, making this year’s corn crop one of the largest since the 1930s.
China has been largely absent from U.S. markets lately, but not when it comes to cotton. It’s a buy that, traders say, isn’t surprising given China’s limitations.
U.S. producers are holding off on equipment investments amid financial pressure, market uncertainty, a rising demand for diesel, and growing desperation for trade wins.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Fewer cattle on feed suggest smaller slaughter numbers this winter, which could support strong prices if beef demand holds firm.
Dairy farmers are expected to face strong output and export gains, but lower prices and tighter margins will persist into next year.
RFD-TV Markets Expert Tony St. James breaks down the state of agribusiness and harvest progress across each region of the United States for the week of Monday, September 22, 2025.
With the latest detection just across the border, animal health officials on both sides are intensifying efforts to contain the outbreak before it spreads further north.
The USDA NASS report also confirms lower August placements.
Producers and processors should watch trade policy closely as tariff impacts ripple through seafood markets.