Higher Input Costs Deepen Northern Farm Credit Pressure

A new survey of agricultural lenders points to increasing financial stress across the Ninth District.

farming taxes accounting money_adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

MINNEAPOLIS, MN (RFD NEWS) — Higher input costs and weak crop prices are pushing Northern farm borrowers toward credit as the growing season begins. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis economist Joe Mahon reports farm income, capital spending, and repayment rates declined across the Ninth District during the first quarter.

More than 75 percent of agricultural lenders reported lower farm income than the previous year. Capital spending fell, according to 65 percent of respondents, as grain operations faced pressure from fertilizer and fuel costs despite strong 2025 yields.

Credit needs are rising. Forty-six percent of lenders reported increased loan demand, nearly half reported more renewals or extensions, and 48 percent reported lower repayment rates. Twenty-four percent increased collateral requirements.

Land values continue masking some stress. Nonirrigated cropland values fell less than 1 percent, while irrigated cropland rose 1.4 percent and ranchland increased more than 3 percent, supported by cattle profitability. Cash rents declined across all land types.

Bankers remain cautious. About half expect farm income to decline further, while more than half expect loan demand to rise and repayment rates to weaken.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Crop producers face mounting credit pressure as high input costs and low prices weaken cash flow despite stable land equity.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Cattle markets continue supporting rural land values, but lenders say repayment rates and carryover debt are becoming a larger focus.
StoneX analyst Josh Linville says global supply risks and continued dependence on imported urea are keeping fertilizer markets on edge.
The lockout has not yet signaled a major disruption in the cattle market, but processing reliability remains important in a tight beef supply chain.
CECU President and CEO Jason Altmire discusses rural workforce shortages, technical skills, and why hands-on labor remains critical despite AI growth.
Feed grain supplies may tighten in 2026/27, supporting higher corn and sorghum prices despite large crops.
USDA says weather damage in key Robusta-growing regions is tightening supplies and lowering export expectations.