Hop Stocks Fall as Brewer Demand Remains Uneven

Lower hop stocks may support prices in the near term.

farm to tap gfx.jpg

Market Day Report

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. hop inventories declined heading into spring, reflecting tighter supplies and shifting demand across brewing markets as producers monitor inventory levels and pricing trends. The latest USDA data highlights continued adjustment in hop stocks following earlier surpluses.

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service reported March 1 hop stocks totaled 147 million pounds, down about 13% from 169 million pounds a year ago. Stocks held by growers and dealers accounted for 127 million pounds, while brewers held about 20 million pounds, both lower than last year.

Operationally, the drawdown suggests brewers and distributors continue working through inventories built during stronger production cycles. Lower stocks may also reflect more cautious purchasing tied to softer craft beer demand and changing consumption patterns across domestic markets.

Regionally, nearly all U.S. hop production is concentrated in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, meaning inventory shifts directly affect growers and processors across the Pacific Northwest supply chain.

Looking ahead, producers will watch brewery demand trends and acreage decisions closely, as tighter inventories could support prices if beer production stabilizes during 2026.

Related Stories
Improved export prospects and higher crop prices strengthened future expectations despite continued caution about spending.
While the agriculture industry hoped details on proposed “bridge” payments for farmers would be released this week, Ag Secretary Brook Rollins said the USDA is still working with the White House on the finer points.
Strong demand supports sweet potatoes, but grading challenges and rising costs weigh on returns for Southeastern growers.
Pressure on grain storage capacity and stronger export positioning are pushing more grain onto railroads, highways, and river systems as logistics become a key bottleneck this fall.
The Cotton-4 are pushing hard for new value chain investments. Still, many U.S. cotton producers face unsustainable losses, and weakened regional textile capacity threatens the survival of the Carolina “dirt-to-shirt” supply chain.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Shrinking sheep numbers contrast with gradual goat expansion, signaling tighter lamb supplies but steadier growth potential for meat goats.
Falling livestock prices, combined with higher input costs, continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Smaller cow numbers and a declining calf crop point to prolonged tight cattle supplies, limiting near-term herd rebuilding potential.
Strong rail demand and higher fuel costs raise transportation risk even as barge and export flows stabilize.
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.