KC Fed: Livestock Strength Offsets Continued Weakness Across Crop Sector

Strong cattle markets are masking ongoing financial stress across crop agriculture.

A Scottish Highland Cow standing in front of a fall vista in Vermont.

Greenfield Highland Beef, FarmHER Janet Seward (FarmHER Season 5, Ep. 23)

Photo by Marji Guyler-Alaniz/FarmHER, Inc.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm income conditions remained uneven through 2025 as strong livestock markets supported revenues while crop producers continued facing lower prices and tightening margins, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Fourth Quarter Agricultural Bulletin (PDF Version).

Average agricultural commodity prices finished 2025 about 5 percent below levels at the start of the year despite strong cattle markets. Higher cattle prices alone contributed roughly three percentage points to overall agricultural price support, but declines in corn, milk, broilers, and eggs pulled the broader index lower. Crop revenues declined for a third consecutive year as large production weighed on prices across grains and oilseeds.

The livestock sector provided the primary financial offset. Higher cattle sales and modest gains in hog, turkey, and egg receipts lifted overall farm income nearly 20 percent above 2024 levels. Domestic demand for agricultural products remained solid, although exports softened due largely to weaker soybean shipments.

Credit conditions gradually weakened during the year, but broader financial stress remained limited. Farm debt levels held steady, loan delinquency rates changed little, and farmland values stayed resilient, helping stabilize balance sheets despite weaker profitability for crop producers.

Looking ahead, Federal Reserve analysts indicate that subdued crop profitability could continue to pressure credit conditions if commodity prices fail to recover, even as livestock markets remain comparatively strong.

Related Stories
USMEF CEO Dan Halstrom joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report for his analysis on the U.S.-Taiwan trade agreement, which includes big bucks for U.S. Beef.
Fewer cattle on feed suggest smaller slaughter numbers this winter, which could support strong prices if beef demand holds firm.
Dairy farmers are expected to face strong output and export gains, but lower prices and tighter margins will persist into next year.
With the latest detection just across the border, animal health officials on both sides are intensifying efforts to contain the outbreak before it spreads further north.
The USDA NASS report also confirms lower August placements.
Chad Collin, founder of The Quack Pack USA, joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to share his expertise in training Border Collies to serve as indispensable farm and ranch dogs.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Genevieve Collins from Americans for Prosperity discusses rising Texas property taxes, potential relief, and impacts on farmers, ranchers, and rural communities.
RealAg Radio’s Shaun Haney joins us to discuss geopolitical trade tensions, energy market volatility, and what global shifts could mean for U.S. agriculture exports.
National Pork Producers Council President Rob Brenneman joins us to discuss Prop 12 provisions in the House’s Farm Bill as it heads to the Senate for debate.
This case could influence how much leverage grain shippers have when a preferred rail outlet is blocked or priced too high.
An Agri Stats settlement could signal that broader antitrust pressure across meat and protein markets is starting to turn into action.
Farm Bureau economist Dr. Faith Parum says EPA’s final biofuel volumes keep corn demand steady and strengthen the outlook for soybean-based diesel feedstocks.