Land Value Expectations Reflect Different Producer Mood Levels in March Ag Economy Barometer

Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.

FarmlandRiver_AdobeStock_223753603_1920x1080.jpg

Adobe Stock

WEST LAFAYETTE, INDIANA (RFD NEWS) — Producers who expect farmland values to rise are also showing a much stronger outlook on current conditions and farm finances. Purdue University’s March 2026 Ag Economy Barometer analysis said land value expectations are lining up closely with broader differences in producer confidence.

The March barometer index stood at 127. About 35 percent of respondents expected land values to be higher a year from now, while roughly 10 percent expected values to be lower. Those expecting higher land values were generally more optimistic across the survey.

That gap was clear in investment and income expectations. Producers expecting lower land values posted a Farm Capital Investment Index of 34 and a Financial Performance Index of 93. Those expecting higher land values posted readings of 72 and 111.

High input costs were the biggest concern for both groups, but they carried more weight for producers expecting weaker land values. Livestock producers also made up a much larger share of the group, expecting land prices to rise.

The report said producers expecting lower land values pointed to net farm income as the biggest influence, while those expecting higher values were more likely to cite alternative investments.

The upcoming Ag Economy Barometer for April will be released next Tuesday, May 5.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Related Stories
Tariff refunds are underway, potentially returning billions to importers, as agriculture groups push for a larger role in trade policy and investigations.
Patrick De Haan with GasBuddy joined us to discuss diesel price volatility and what farmers can expect as geopolitical tensions continue to impact energy markets.
Spring Weather Shapes Planting Pace Across U.S. Regions
Hemp growth is driven by floral demand, with mixed returns elsewhere.
Farm programs remain small but politically easier to expand.
Export funding aims to strengthen global demand for U.S. commodities.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The sugar policy debate affects prices, trade, and farm stability.
Strong feedlot demand keeps beef-on-dairy calf premiums elevated.
Cattle producers face mounting pressure as U.S.-Mexico trade talks resume, but expanding drought, rising input costs, and policy work to improve the long-term industry outlook.
Lower U.S. ethanol production and stocks may support ethanol prices while strong export demand continues to support ethanol and corn markets.
More Farms File for Bankruptcy As Strong Farm Loan Demand Boosts Bank Earnings
China’s changing pork demand may limit export growth opportunities.