Land Value Expectations Reflect Different Producer Mood Levels in March Ag Economy Barometer

Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.

FarmlandRiver_AdobeStock_223753603_1920x1080.jpg

Adobe Stock

WEST LAFAYETTE, INDIANA (RFD NEWS) — Producers who expect farmland values to rise are also showing a much stronger outlook on current conditions and farm finances. Purdue University’s March 2026 Ag Economy Barometer analysis said land value expectations are lining up closely with broader differences in producer confidence.

The March barometer index stood at 127. About 35 percent of respondents expected land values to be higher a year from now, while roughly 10 percent expected values to be lower. Those expecting higher land values were generally more optimistic across the survey.

That gap was clear in investment and income expectations. Producers expecting lower land values posted a Farm Capital Investment Index of 34 and a Financial Performance Index of 93. Those expecting higher land values posted readings of 72 and 111.

High input costs were the biggest concern for both groups, but they carried more weight for producers expecting weaker land values. Livestock producers also made up a much larger share of the group, expecting land prices to rise.

The report said producers expecting lower land values pointed to net farm income as the biggest influence, while those expecting higher values were more likely to cite alternative investments.

The upcoming Ag Economy Barometer for April will be released next Tuesday, May 5.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Related Stories
Large carryover stocks continue to put pressure on commodity prices, creating uncertainty for growers looking to market their grain.
Heidi Exline with American Farmland Trust shares how their Farm to School initiative helps strengthen the connection between local farms and school food programs.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold, President of the University of Nebraska, notes that many heart-related conditions can be prevented through lifestyle changes.
Support policies that keep U.S. biofuels at the table—marine demand could materially lift corn grind, crush margins, and rural jobs.
Fans can catch all the action live starting next Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. ET, following Cow Guy Close. Catch it LIVE only on RFD-TV.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Corey Rosenbusch, President & CEO of The Fertilizer Institute, discusses fertilizer markets transparency efforts and the steps to ensure long-term stability for farmers and the ag economy.
Egg production accounted for much of the increase.
Farm Bureau Economist Dr. Faith Parum joins us to break down what year-round E15 passage could mean for agriculture, energy markets, and the future of renewable fuels in the United States.
A tax preparer can help identify penalty and interest charges and determine whether Form 843 should be filed.
Thailand will not replace major corn buyers overnight, but renewed access could create another outlet for U.S. corn demand.
Kentucky Farm Bureau President Eddie Melton joins us to discuss fertilizer affordability concerns, Senate Agriculture Committee testimony, and spring planting conditions in Kentucky.