Lower Transport Costs Support Corn; Soybean Pressure Builds

Lower shipping costs favor corn, while soybeans face pressure.

trade_adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Lower transportation costs are helping U.S. corn remain competitive in export markets, while soybean demand continues to face pressure from global competition. USDA data shows fourth-quarter shipping costs declined, supporting corn movement even as soybean exports weakened.

Transportation costs from the Midwest to Japan fell both quarter-to-quarter and year-over-year. Lower barge and truck rates drove much of the decline, offsetting slightly higher ocean freight costs. That helped reduce total landed costs for corn through both Gulf and Pacific Northwest routes.

Soybean costs moved in the opposite direction. Higher farm values pushed total landed costs slightly higher, despite similar transportation savings. That reduced competitiveness in global markets.

Export trends reflect the shift. Fourth-quarter corn exports rose sharply, supported by demand from Asia and Latin America. Soybean exports dropped significantly, driven by weaker demand from China and stronger competition from Brazil.

Looking ahead, USDA projects corn exports to rise this marketing year, while soybean exports are expected to decline.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Lower shipping costs favor corn, while soybeans face pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Lyndsey Smith with RealAg Radio discusses how global trade dynamics could shape the future of Canada’s pulse exports.
“Farmers for Free Trade” warns that disaster is brewing as President Trump’s trade policy is causing farm input costs to rise even more.
Corn and wheat inspections outpaced last year, but soybean movement remains seasonally active yet behind, keeping basis and freight dynamics in focus by corridor.
Lawmakers are pressing for answers on how Washington’s “managed trade” approach — keeping leverage through long-term tariffs — will affect farmers, global markets, and future export opportunities.
In the meantime, Senate Majority Leader John Thune is asking that farmers be allowed to use marketing assistance loans to help stay afloat.
Beef industry groups seem to agree — market-based pricing, not federal intervention, best supports rancher livelihoods and long-term beef supply stability.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Harvest Pace, Logistics, and Input Costs Drive Fall Decisions
With China halting U.S. soybean purchases and talks tied to broader strategic issues, growers face renewed export uncertainty.
Talks highlight the widening role of agriculture in U.S.–India trade policy, though neither side appears ready for major concessions before tariff issues and oil imports are resolved.
Southern farms are deepening online engagement for cost savings and market access, while higher-cost precision technologies face renewed scrutiny amid tight budgets.
Global trade teams and summit discussions highlight expanding opportunities for U.S. corn and ethanol exports as nations explore renewable fuel options and reduced-carbon energy pathways.
Slightly higher output amid softer gasoline pull points to steady corn grind — watch regional stocks and export pace for basis clues.