Midwest Farm Credit Weakens as Loan Demand Rises

Chicago Fed lenders report producers are carrying more operating debt as repayment rates continue weakening across the Midwest.

business corporate transparency act boi reporting generic_Photo by Mariakray via AdobeStock_322909427.png

Photo by Mariakray via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

CHICAGO, IL (RFD NEWS) — Midwest farm credit conditions weakened in the first quarter as producers carried more operating debt and lenders reported slower repayment rates.

The Chicago Federal Reserve says non-real-estate farm loan demand rose for the tenth consecutive quarter across the Seventh District.

The loan demand index reached 141, with half of responding lenders reporting higher demand than a year earlier. At the same time, repayment rates remained weak, with 38 percent of lenders reporting lower repayment rates and only 1 percent reporting improvement.

Loan renewals and extensions also increased. The index reached 136, its highest level since the second quarter of 2020, and lenders reported an average of 17 percent of farm borrowers carried more debt into 2026.

Farmland values were still 3 percent higher than a year earlier, but dipped 1 percent from the previous quarter. Cash rents fell 3 percent for 2026, their second straight annual decline.

The outlook points to increased demand for operating, feeder cattle, and FSA-guaranteed loans this spring.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher loan demand, weaker repayment rates, and more carryover debt show working capital remains under pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The risk is prolonged crop weakness. Stable farmland values remain critical if losses continue.
Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance says recent futures market moves are leaving cattle producers unsure about price trends.
Brooks York with AgriSompo joined us to break down livestock protection coverage, market timing, and how producers can access risk management tools.
The coalition says the program was designed to make cover crop enrollment faster and easier for producers.
Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty joined us to share guidance on preventing land fraud, identifying scams, and protecting farm and rural property owners.
China remains critical to U.S. farm exports, but Brazil’s growing market share keeps pressure on U.S. soybean demand.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expect firm demand for dependable HRS and SW, steady movement in HRW, more sorting on SRW, and selective bids on durum until full milling results are released.
Reversion would sharply increase dairy prices and raise crop supports, driving up government costs and consumer prices while unsettling markets—even as crop insurance remains in place.
Treat financial stress as a health risk—know the warning signs, normalize conversations, and connect farm families to local and national support early.
Congress has just over a month of working days left for the year. Plan for uneven USDA service until funding is restored, and closely monitor Farm Bill talks, as avoiding Permanent Law before January 1 is the single biggest risk to markets and milk prices.
Mexico’s tougher, two-step treatment and added checkpoints are catching cases before they can spread—good news for producers near the border.
Harvest Builds As Logistics And Input Costs Shape Fall Decisions