Midwest Farm Credit Weakens as Loan Demand Rises

Chicago Fed lenders report producers are carrying more operating debt as repayment rates continue weakening across the Midwest.

business corporate transparency act boi reporting generic_Photo by Mariakray via AdobeStock_322909427.png

Photo by Mariakray via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

CHICAGO, IL (RFD NEWS) — Midwest farm credit conditions weakened in the first quarter as producers carried more operating debt and lenders reported slower repayment rates.

The Chicago Federal Reserve says non-real-estate farm loan demand rose for the tenth consecutive quarter across the Seventh District.

The loan demand index reached 141, with half of responding lenders reporting higher demand than a year earlier. At the same time, repayment rates remained weak, with 38 percent of lenders reporting lower repayment rates and only 1 percent reporting improvement.

Loan renewals and extensions also increased. The index reached 136, its highest level since the second quarter of 2020, and lenders reported an average of 17 percent of farm borrowers carried more debt into 2026.

Farmland values were still 3 percent higher than a year earlier, but dipped 1 percent from the previous quarter. Cash rents fell 3 percent for 2026, their second straight annual decline.

The outlook points to increased demand for operating, feeder cattle, and FSA-guaranteed loans this spring.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher loan demand, weaker repayment rates, and more carryover debt show working capital remains under pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Higher input costs and tighter cash flow are keeping pressure on farm income, credit needs, and capital spending.
Congressman Mark Messmer discusses the Farm Bill, rural investment priorities, Prop 12, and support for farmers facing economic pressure.
Current estimates are already hovering around 80 weeks.
Cattle markets continue supporting rural land values, but lenders say repayment rates and carryover debt are becoming a larger focus.
StoneX analyst Josh Linville says global supply risks and continued dependence on imported urea are keeping fertilizer markets on edge.
The lockout has not yet signaled a major disruption in the cattle market, but processing reliability remains important in a tight beef supply chain.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Fair market value shapes taxes, transitions, lending, and sales, making accurate valuation essential for long-term planning.
SDRP Stage 2 now helps producers recover shallow, uninsured losses from major 2023–2024 disasters, with streamlined sign-ups open through April 30.
Tyson’s capacity cuts weaken local basis, tighten kill space, and heighten dependence on imports, signaling more volatility for producers.
Low farmer shares reflect deep consolidation across the food chain, keeping producer returns thin even as retail food prices remain high.
Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.
Corn exports remain strong, while soybeans and wheat shift week to week on river conditions and global demand.