WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD News) — Rising milk production is increasing supply in 2026, but stronger exports and improving dairy prices are helping support the market outlook for producers, according to the USDA’s latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook.
Milk production is forecast at 235.3 billion pounds, driven by a larger dairy herd that is offsetting slightly lower output per cow. Cow numbers have expanded year over year, pushing overall production higher even as margins remain tighter than last year.
Wholesale dairy prices are showing mixed movement. Cheese and nonfat dry milk prices have strengthened, while butter and whey prices have softened. Strong demand, particularly in spot markets for nonfat dry milk, is tightening supplies and supporting price gains.
Exports remain a bright spot. Dairy export volumes reached record levels in February, with gains across cheese, butter, dry whey, and skim milk products. At the same time, imports have declined, tightening domestic supplies.
Despite stronger exports, domestic use is expected to soften slightly as higher prices weigh on consumption.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong exports and prices are helping offset rising milk supplies.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Ben Kurtzman with American Farmland Trust discusses the growing pressure on farmland and ranchland and the steps being taken to help conserve farms and ranches across the country ,as unrest in the Middle East adds more obstacles for producers.
March 11, 2026 03:18 PM
·
NRECA CEO Jim Matheson warns that rising electricity demand from AI and data centers could strain the grid and affect rural electric cooperatives if U.S. power infrastructure cannot keep up.
March 11, 2026 11:59 AM
·
Weather remains the primary driver for wheat price outlook.
March 11, 2026 10:58 AM
·
Acre reporting is crucial to maximize specialty crop aid.
March 11, 2026 10:49 AM
·
HTS Commodities’ Lewis Williamson provides updates on how growers are preparing for spring planting in an unpredictable agricultural landscape.
March 10, 2026 03:45 PM
·
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains how geopolitical developments in the Middle East can create energy-driven pressures that impact the supply chain and reshape demand for certain ag products.
March 10, 2026 03:27 PM
·
