NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — New analysis from the Minneapolis Federal Reserve suggests tariffs are not the main reason goods prices remain elevated, raising broader concerns for input costs across agriculture and rural economies.
Economists found core goods inflation continues to run above historical averages, but price increases do not align with where tariffs should have the biggest impact. Some goods with high tariff exposure have seen limited inflation, while others with low tariffs have posted stronger price gains.
The report estimates tariffs are contributing only about 0.5 percentage points to overall inflation, meaning other factors — including supply chain shifts, demand changes, and pricing behavior — are playing a larger role. Inflation in goods remains elevated at roughly 1.9% year-over-year, well above pre-pandemic norms.
For agriculture, that disconnect matters. Equipment, inputs, and consumer goods tied to farm operations may continue rising in cost even if tariff pressures ease, complicating budgeting decisions.
The findings also suggest that some price increases may still be working their way through the system, especially as inventories turn and contracts reset.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Input costs may stay elevated beyond tariff impacts.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
A look at the legislative year ahead as lawmakers return to Washington with a slate of trade concerns to tackle in 2026—from new Chinese tariffs on beef imports to the USMCA review this summer.
January 05, 2026 12:20 PM
·
Shaun Haney, Host of
RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us with his 2026 cattle market outlook and insights on beef prices.
January 05, 2026 10:41 AM
·
Strong global demand and falling stocks suggest continued price volatility for U.S. coffee buyers despite record world production.
December 26, 2025 03:00 PM
·
Benchmark machinery costs against those of similar-sized, high-performing operations to inform equipment and investment decisions.
December 25, 2025 12:00 PM
·
Record pace corn exports are helping stabilize prices despite softer global grain production and ongoing supply competition.
December 25, 2025 06:00 AM
·
Farms and major food companies use AI to improve efficiency and forecast demand. Still, developers said that training AI for different uses is only possible with support from knowledgeable workers.
December 23, 2025 01:02 PM
·
