NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — New analysis from the Minneapolis Federal Reserve suggests tariffs are not the main reason goods prices remain elevated, raising broader concerns for input costs across agriculture and rural economies.
Economists found core goods inflation continues to run above historical averages, but price increases do not align with where tariffs should have the biggest impact. Some goods with high tariff exposure have seen limited inflation, while others with low tariffs have posted stronger price gains.
The report estimates tariffs are contributing only about 0.5 percentage points to overall inflation, meaning other factors — including supply chain shifts, demand changes, and pricing behavior — are playing a larger role. Inflation in goods remains elevated at roughly 1.9% year-over-year, well above pre-pandemic norms.
For agriculture, that disconnect matters. Equipment, inputs, and consumer goods tied to farm operations may continue rising in cost even if tariff pressures ease, complicating budgeting decisions.
The findings also suggest that some price increases may still be working their way through the system, especially as inventories turn and contracts reset.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Input costs may stay elevated beyond tariff impacts.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Plan for a cooler global trade market in 2026 with tighter margins on exports, potential rate shifts, and premiums for reliable deliveries into Asian and African growth markets.
October 07, 2025 03:24 PM
·
RFD-TV Farm Legal and Tax Expert Roger McEowen with the Washburn School of Law dives into a “potpourri” of ag tax and law-related issues in his latest
Firm to Farm blog post.
October 07, 2025 02:56 PM
·
Dr. Todd Davis, Chief Economist with the Indiana Farm Bureau, shares a snapshot of his state’s harvest conditions and insights from producers.
October 07, 2025 02:37 PM
·
Congress has just over a month of working days left for the year. Plan for uneven USDA service until funding is restored, and closely monitor Farm Bill talks, as avoiding Permanent Law before January 1 is the single biggest risk to markets and milk prices.
October 07, 2025 11:09 AM
·
Despite tariffs having a less significant impact on exports, corn producers struggle with tariff-related increases on inputs, which complicates their bottom line.
October 06, 2025 01:13 PM
·
Jack Daniel’s will end its Cow Feeder Program, which served around 100 livestock operations near the distillery, and redirect spent grains to its anaerobic digester.
October 06, 2025 12:33 PM
·
