No WASDE This Month: Will China Buy Soybeans During the USDA Data Reporting Freeze?

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — The markets will be without a major monthly report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). We are talking about the WASDE report that should have been released on Thursday, but is now on hold due to the ongoing government shutdown.

In a large memo posted to the WASDE section of the USDA’s website, users are greeted with a message stating that the report is now suspended until further notice. Other reports are also on hold, with nearly half of USDA’s workforce in limbo until Congress appropriates the necessary spending. This includes information on overnight grain sales.

And without overnight data, that means the markets will be in the dark on purchases, including those by China. One market analyst tells us he would not be surprised if China bought some US soybeans while the information flow is shut off.

“Since then, what we’ve seen is renewed buying coming into the soybean market, and we’ve seen it in both futures and future spreads,” Darin Newsom explained. “And so, the big question last week, as I did all my interviews last week, was: How would we be able to tell without government guidance if the world’s largest buyer had stepped back in? Which they tend to do when the U.S. government shuts down because there’s no one reporting on their activity.”

He says there have been signs since the government shut down last week.

“We tend to see some business, albeit securing secondary supplies,” Newsom said. “How would we be able to tell what comes in the futures and what comes in the future spreads?”

For now, the October WASDE report is up in the air. In previous shutdowns, USDA never released those WASDE reports that had been delayed.

Related Stories
Land values are increasing faster than farm income, making it more challenging for young and beginning farmers to expand, but supporting equity for current landowners.
While treatable with a vaccine, anthrax is a dangerous threat to cattle herd health if not identified and treated immediately.
Smaller flocks and lower lay rates are pressuring table egg supplies, even as hatchery activity edges higher.
Strong corn exports are anchoring U.S. trade, while soybean sales remain steady, but shipments lag.
Smaller slaughter numbers across beef and pork signal tighter supplies into late 2025, while record-low veal production highlights ongoing structural changes in the sector.
Chad Rezniek with the Colorado AgrAbility Project joined us as part of National Farm Safety and Health Week to discuss the growing need for behavioral health support in rural communities.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Beginning Farmers and Ranchers, Crop Insurance, and a Business Planning Complication
UC Davis Professor and Extension Specialist Dr. Frank Mitloehner joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to preview the festivities and share why this event has become such a special tradition for the ag community.
Beal joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to discuss her election to NASDA’s presidency, challenges facing American agriculture, and her background as a Mainer and dairy farmer.
RFD-TV Farm Legal and Taxation expert Roger McEowen joined us Friday to break down the executive order and what it means for farmers and ranchers.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to break down what this extension means for affected ranchers.
Potash has seen the most significant decline, falling 11 percent over the same five-year period.