No WASDE This Month: Will China Buy Soybeans During the USDA Data Reporting Freeze?

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — The markets will be without a major monthly report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). We are talking about the WASDE report that should have been released on Thursday, but is now on hold due to the ongoing government shutdown.

In a large memo posted to the WASDE section of the USDA’s website, users are greeted with a message stating that the report is now suspended until further notice. Other reports are also on hold, with nearly half of USDA’s workforce in limbo until Congress appropriates the necessary spending. This includes information on overnight grain sales.

And without overnight data, that means the markets will be in the dark on purchases, including those by China. One market analyst tells us he would not be surprised if China bought some US soybeans while the information flow is shut off.

“Since then, what we’ve seen is renewed buying coming into the soybean market, and we’ve seen it in both futures and future spreads,” Darin Newsom explained. “And so, the big question last week, as I did all my interviews last week, was: How would we be able to tell without government guidance if the world’s largest buyer had stepped back in? Which they tend to do when the U.S. government shuts down because there’s no one reporting on their activity.”

He says there have been signs since the government shut down last week.

“We tend to see some business, albeit securing secondary supplies,” Newsom said. “How would we be able to tell what comes in the futures and what comes in the future spreads?”

For now, the October WASDE report is up in the air. In previous shutdowns, USDA never released those WASDE reports that had been delayed.

Related Stories
Early indications suggest the U.S. cattle industry may be nearing the end of its liquidation phase. Oklahoma State University livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel says the industry could be at or near the cyclical low.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar has four years remaining in her Senate term and could decide to continue serving in that role while campaigning for Governor of Minnesota.
Beef x Dairy cattle with strong genetics and documentation are earning prices comparable to native feeders.
Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
Justin Wheeler with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers joined us with insight into current farmland values and what to watch in the year ahead.
USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg joined us with a recap of the Malaysia trade mission and a look at USDA’s broader trade strategy moving forward.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

AFBF Economist Danny Munch shares a closer look at the dairy market and the forces impacting producers today.
Eliza Petry joins the RFD News team with a strong connection to agriculture and a commitment to covering the people and issues that matter most to rural America.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer helps producers navigate farm program payments and understand the key details farmers need to know.
Todd Janzen with Janzen Schroeder Ag Law explains the updated ag data use agreement model and what it means for farmers and companies alike.
UT Extension also offers tips to help consumers stretch their grocery budgets, including meal planning, sticking to a shopping list, and choosing store or generic brands.
STRAUSS CEO Henning Strauss joined us with a preview of “Meet Strauss: The Tool You Wear,” premiering live tonight at 7:30 ET — only on RFD Network and RFD+
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.