Poultry Production Expands While Prices and Exports Face Pressure

Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.

A photo of two little boys playing inside a greenhouse with farm animals including chickens, ducks and a fluffy white farm dog.

FarmHER Jen Welch (Season 1, Episode 2)

FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Broiler and egg production are increasing in 2026, but weaker export demand and softer prices are creating mixed conditions across the poultry sector, according to the USDA’s latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook.

Broiler production is forecast to rise 1.9 percent to 48.9 billion pounds, supported by higher slaughter rates and heavier bird weights. Early-year indicators, including chick placements and hatch rates, point to continued production growth in the months ahead.

Despite increased output, exports are trending lower. Broiler shipments declined early in the year, with reduced demand from key markets like Mexico, Cuba, and Taiwan only partially offset by gains in countries such as Vietnam and the Philippines. Total 2026 exports are projected to be slightly lower than last year.

Prices are also under pressure. Broiler prices are expected to average lower in 2026, reflecting increased supply and softer demand.

In the egg sector, production is rebounding sharply as flocks recover, pushing prices significantly lower compared to last year. Turkey production and exports are increasing, supported by the recovery from prior disease impacts.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Crop insurance remains a vital tool for managing climate-driven risk.
Expect firm demand for dependable HRS and SW, steady movement in HRW, more sorting on SRW, and selective bids on durum until full milling results are released.
Dr. Todd Davis, Chief Economist with the Indiana Farm Bureau, shares a snapshot of his state’s harvest conditions and insights from producers.
Market analyst Kevin Huddleston said news of trade deals could rebound cotton prices in late fall, and producers need to be ready to strike deals.
Shaun Haney, host of RealAg Radio, joined us to break down the latest data on Canadian farmland values and share insights on how it impacts producers.
Lewis Williamson, from HTS Commodities, joined us to share insights on the farm economy from producers in the field.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

How many burgers could you buy instead of a house?
Let’s take a look at harvest progress as of early September 2025, across all 50 U.S. States, prepared by Market Day Report anchor and RFD-TV Markets Expert Tony St. James.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.