Producer payments could have “unintended consequences,” ag economists warn

Help will soon be on the way to farmers and ranchers who were impacted by natural disasters last year. Ag economists say the money is much needed, but warn there could be fallout.

“While this assistance is significant, it’s important to understand its broader implications. These payments will help offset losses and reduce financial stress, making loan renewals and financial planning easier for the 2025 crop year. However, there are potential unintended consequences as well. This aid could slow necessary cost adjustments in the agricultural sector. For example, negotiating lower cash rents with landowners may be more difficult, and pressures on farmers and input suppliers to reduce other costs might be reduced,” said Nick Paulson.

There is still no word on when that money will be distributed. It was a big topic at the confirmation hearing for Ag Secretary nominee Brooke Rollins. When asked about payments, she said it would be a day-one priority.

"[It] will be a fast and furious effort to ensure that we move that economic aid out. Aid to the farmers is a top priority; animal disease is a top priority; ensuring that we begin to move toward President Trump’s vision. I work for him, I am his cabinet member, but I also work alongside all of you.”

There is no word yet on when the full Senate will vote on Rollins’ confirmation. Industry leaders believe she will pass without any issue.

Related Stories
Expanded aerial capacity strengthens the U.S.–Mexico buffer against screwworm, providing cattle producers with stronger protection heading into winter and reducing risk to herds along the southern tier.
AFBF economist Faith Parum breaks down the potential impact of the proposed policy change to allow year-round sales of E15 biofuel.
The facility will increase the range of sterile fly release and bolster preparedness for New World Screwworm.
Some sustainability shifts are not particularly challenging and can be implemented with resources already available to farmers and ranchers on their operations.
FD-TV’s own Tammi Arender caught up with Gregg Doud, President and CEO of the National Milk Producers Federation.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

“I’m not sure where this bridge goes,” trader Brady Huck with Advanced Trading told RFD-TV News earlier this week.
CoBank’s 2026 Year Ahead Report cites global grain oversupply, easing inflation, rate cuts, and major data center growth that could reshape rural America.
Plan for sharp, short-term volatility after unexpected outages; permanent closures rarely trigger major price spread disruptions.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.