Record Peanut Crop Leaves Market Searching for Direction

Strong supplies and rising stocks point to continued price pressure unless demand accelerates.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. peanut growers enter 2026 facing abundant supplies after record production in 2025, with acreage, output, and ending stocks all pointing to continued market pressure. USDA data show peanut planted area reached 1.95 million acres last year — the highest since 1991 — driven largely by expanded acreage in Georgia and Texas.

National peanut yields averaged 3,767 pounds per acre, modestly higher than 2024 but below the five-year average. Georgia posted stronger year-over-year yields, while Texas recorded its lowest state yield since the mid-1990s, partially offsetting gains elsewhere. Despite mixed yields, total U.S. peanut production reached an estimated 3.59 million tons, up 11 percent and narrowly setting a new record.

Demand is expected to grow in the 2025-26 marketing year, but not fast enough to absorb the larger crop. USDA projects peanut disappearance rising 6 percent, while ending stocks are forecast to climb 24 percent, keeping downward pressure on prices.

Looking ahead, competing crops offer little relief. Corn and cotton prices remain soft, suggesting peanut acreage could stay elevated in 2026 despite heavier supplies.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong supplies and rising stocks point to continued price pressure unless demand accelerates.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Freight Softens as Producers Plan 2026 Budgets Nationwide
CoBank’s 2026 Year Ahead Report cites global grain oversupply, easing inflation, rate cuts, and major data center growth that could reshape rural America.
Plan for sharp, short-term volatility after unexpected outages; permanent closures rarely trigger major price spread disruptions.
Ethanol output softened, but underlying supply-and-demand trends indicate stable longer-term use despite short-term volatility in blending and exports.
Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
USDA data confirms that U.S. agriculture remains overwhelmingly family-run despite structural shifts in scale and production, according to a new analystis by Farm Flavor.
Stronger sorghum genetics could enhance the resilience of bioenergy crops and broaden production options for growers in harsher climates.
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Danny Munch joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the scope of the U.S. Christmas Tree industry and what growers are up against.
Rising beef supplies and lower cattle prices, weaker hog markets, and softening dairy prices will shape producer margins heading into 2026.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
Larger grain stocks increase supply pressure, but strong fall disappearance — especially for corn and sorghum — suggests demand remains an important offset.
Record corn and sorghum crops boost feed grain supplies, while reduced soybean and cotton production tighten outlooks for oilseeds and fiber markets.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us to provide analysis on the January WASDE report and expectations for grain markets going forward.
Structural efficiency supports cattle prices and resilience — breaking it risks higher costs and greater volatility.
Strong pork demand and improving beef exports outside China support protein markets despite ongoing trade barriers.