Rural Money: Projected Decline in Total Acreage Across Wheat, Corn, and Soybeans Shifts PLC Payment Rates

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.

corn crop aerial_adobe stock.png

PARKER, COLORADO (RFD NEWS) — The latest projections from USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum are giving producers updated information to help navigate the market for major crops.

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the updated Price Loss Coverage (PLC) rate estimates for crops such as corn, soybeans, and wheat.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Neiffer highlighted key takeaways, including how updated market conditions and commodity prices are impacting expected payments and coverage levels. He also explained that changes in base acres for certain farms could influence PLC calculations, potentially affecting which program — PLC or Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) — might be the better fit for each operation.

Neiffer reminded producers that enrollment for PLC and ARC programs typically opens through the USDA Farm Service Agency in the spring, and urged farmers to review their options carefully to optimize their farm safety nets.

How It Works: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) and ARC (Agricultural Risk Coverage)

Covered Commodities

  • 22 covered commodities including wheat, oats, barley, corn, grain sorghum, long grain rice, medium/short grain rice, temperate japonica rice, seed cotton, dry peas, lentils, large and small chickpeas, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower seed, canola, flaxseed, mustard seed, rapeseed, safflower, crambe, and sesame seed.
  • Program-specific reference prices and revenue guarantees.

Payment Triggers

  • ARC payments are triggered when actual revenue falls below the guaranteed level.
  • PLC payments are triggered when the market year average prices fall below the effective reference price.

Benefits

  • Provides financial support during periods of low prices or revenue shortfalls.
  • Helps stabilize income for farmers and ranchers.
  • Offers a safety net against market volatility.

Additional Benefits

  • Financial Stability: Offers a safety net to manage price and revenue risks.
  • Income Support: Helps maintain farm income stability during economic downturns.
  • Flexibility: Producers can choose between ARC and PLC based on their individual needs and commodity markets.
Related Stories
Jake Charleston, with Specialty Risk Insurance, joins us now for an industry update and advice for cattle producers as they consider options for managing the risks of a murky market.
The National Milk Producers Federation will launch a new advocacy campaign to secure a final vote, urging House lawmakers to approve the bill as soon as they return from the Thanksgiving recess.
AFBF Vice President of Public Policy and Economic Analysis, Dr. John Newton, explains the factors contributing to the growing financial strain in the ag sector and the urgent need for swift economic support.
Tyson’s Nebraska plant closure and falling Cattle on Feed numbers send cattle markets tumbling. Analysts warn of tighter supplies, weak margins, and rising global competition.
A regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture, prepared by RFD-TV Markets Specialist Tony St. James, for the week of Monday, November 24, 2025.
Farmers with unpaid Hansen-Mueller grain should verify delivery records immediately and file indemnity claims quickly, as coverage rules differ sharply by state.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Supplemental Disaster Relief Program Stage Two will disburse around $16 billion, approved by Congress last year. Sign-ups begin Monday, and producers have until April to return applications.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer explains the USDA’s Stage Two Supplemental Disaster Relief Program, including application details, deadlines, and guidance for rural producers.
Singer-songwriter Shea Fisher joined the program to discuss her latest projects and her appearance on the Dirt Diaries podcast.
CattleCon 2026 kicks off February 3 in Nashville. Kristin Torres with the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association joined RFD-TV to share more about what’s ahead at this year’s event.
Heavy rains are wreaking havoc on Argentina’s farmland, leaving nearly 4 million acres at risk and delaying corn and soybean plantings in one of the world’s top grain export regions.