Seasonal Hog Supply Decline Fails to Lift Prices

Allendale analysts say lower hog production has yet to generate the typical seasonal price movement.

PALATINE, Ill. (RFD News) — Analysts are closely watching supply and price trends in the hog market heading into the summer months.

Allendale, Inc. Chief Strategist Rich Nelson says the expected seasonal decline in hog production is already underway.

“We’ve been pointing out that the seasonal drop in production has happened,” he said. “So far, no real change in cash hog prices, a slight increase for cash pork. Still, overall, though, quite a disappointing story. Seasonal drop in supply is happening on target, but the price reaction is not happening on target, though.”

The next USDA Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Report is scheduled for release on June 25.

Traders will be watching for updated inventory numbers and any signs of changes in production trends.

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Overall, the report suggests a shift toward more comfortable supply levels, with demand emerging as a key factor to watch in the months ahead.

Knoxville native Neal Burnette-Irwin is a graduate from MTSU where he majored in Journalism and Entertainment Studies. He works as a digital content producer with RFD News and is represented by multiple talent agencies in Nashville and Chicago.


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