Tight Supply Lifts Lamb Prices Above Seasonal Expectations

Lamb prices have seen a surprising surge driven by a tight supply and increasing demand in non-traditional markets.

COLLEGE STATION, Texas (RFD-TV)—Across the United States, lamb markets are showing an unusual pattern this season. Prices are rising this time of year when the market typically softens, giving producers a rare boost. The Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service reports significant movement in both cash and wholesale markets.

“We’ve got prices going up when normally they’re going down this time of year, seasonally — so, we got a real, pretty strong kind of counter-seasonal market rally happening — and we’ve got higher prices in the wholesale cutout value market as well,” explained David Anderson with Texas A&M. “So, there’s really some good movement in terms of prices in the right direction, and interestingly enough, we’ve got a little more production going on, too. So, you put the thing together, and it looks like a pretty good picture for the movement of products and prices.”

Even as the traditional lamb market faces challenges from imports, producers are finding opportunities in new, non-traditional areas, even creative approaches, such as grazing under solar panels.

“We have an industry that, in some respects, is struggling, but in some respects is growing; we have a traditional market that’s really been impacted by imports, and we have a growing non-traditional market,” Anderson explained. “You know, grazing solar panels and everything else have provided some more opportunities. I think it’s difficult to find new alternatives that work sometimes — because oftentimes, what we’re doing is what’s best suited for an AA— and so, trying to make something else work. But I think a lot of people are looking for new alternatives, and they need to check [solar panel grazing] out as well.”

Livestock Production Trends: Lamb Tells a Different Story

Rising productivity is reshaping beef and pork markets, allowing steady output with fewer breeding animals. Lamb production, however, illustrates how consumer demand and breed shifts can reduce per-animal output, creating different pressures within the industry.

Lamb production has dropped from 57 pounds in 2000 to 48 pounds in 2024, reflecting growing consumer demand for smaller carcasses and the rise of hair sheep breeds.

Related Stories
Tidal Grow Agri-Science joins us to celebrate Global Fertilizer Day, sharing how innovation continues to drive American agriculture forward.
Better yield measurement means fairer grids, more precise breeding targets, and more dollars for truly efficient cattle.
ock NH3 early, track China’s Oct. 15 call and any U.S. Russia-UAN action, stay nimble on urea, and budget cautiously for high-priced phosphate.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer shares his perspective on the uncertain outlook of federal farm relief and the Farm Bill, which may not materialize until the government shutdown ends.
AFBF Associate Economist Samantha Ayoub joins us to dive into H-2A visa program changes and what can be done to ease the pressure on producers.
U.S. Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to share why Ames is uniquely positioned to support expanded USDA operations.
Jed Bower, the incoming president of the National Corn Growers Association, joined us for his sector’s perspective on the ongoing government shutdown.
Jack Daniel’s will end its Cow Feeder Program, which served around 100 livestock operations near the distillery, and redirect spent grains to its anaerobic digester.
Prepare for acute UAN risk and a brief urea shock; maintain steady ammonia and phosphate plans, and monitor potash basis on the coasts.