U.S. Farm Economy Shows Strength, Growing Divergence

Livestock strength is carrying the farm economy, while crop margins remain tight and increasingly dependent on risk management and financial discipline.

cute cows_Alex Templeton_FarmHER RanchHER Season &

RanchHER Alex Templeton (FarmHER + RanchHER Season 7, Ep. 10)

FarmHER, Inc.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. agriculture entered 2026 with mixed financial signals, as strong livestock markets continue to offset pressure on crop producers, according to the latest Agricultural Financial Update from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

The report shows overall economic resilience supporting agriculture, but with widening gaps across industry sectors. Cattle prices remained a standout, supported by tight supplies, strong calf values, and lower feed costs, while dairy margins benefited earlier from herd growth and improved price-to-feed ratios. Livestock remains the farm economy’s brightest spot.

Row crop producers face a tougher outlook. Elevated U.S. and global supplies of corn and soybeans have weighed on prices, pushing crop profit margins close to breakeven. The analysis indicates that insurance programs and ad hoc government payments helped stabilize incomes in 2024 and 2025, but those supports are expected to provide only modest relief in 2026.

Financial stress remains contained but is building. Farm loan delinquency rates remain low, yet survey data indicate tightening credit conditions, higher loan demand, and pressure on renter-operators without land equity. Farmland values and cash rents have remained firm, helping keep overall leverage steady despite rising debt.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Livestock strength is carrying the farm economy, while crop margins remain tight and increasingly dependent on risk management and financial discipline.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Texas Ag Commissioner Sid Miller joins us to discuss the cattle herd rebuild, trade concerns, and how ranchers would define “America First” policy priorities.
In the U.S. and Canada, reduced planted acres—not yield losses—led to a decline in potato production, while Mexico saw modest gains due to increased yields and harvested areas.
AFBF Economist Samantha Ayoub discusses the latest data on Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings and what the troubling trend signals for the farm economy. At the same time, bigger loans and higher rates are squeezing working capital and increasing financial risk.
Corn demand remains supportive, but weaker soybean buying limits overall export momentum.
Chef and influencer Marcia Smart joined us to discuss Italian-inspired beef dishes, nutrition for active lifestyles, and how global events shape home cooking.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Wind repowering offers a rare opportunity to renegotiate outdated leases and improve long-term land income for landowners who act early.
Record ethanol production and improving blending demand continue to support corn usage despite rising short-term inventories.
Tight beef cow supplies and steady demand point to continued record-level cull cow prices in 2026.
A disciplined, breakeven-based marketing plan helps protect margins and reduce risk, even when markets remain unpredictable.
Expanded school access to whole milk provides modest but reliable demand support for U.S. dairy producers.
The American Farm Bureau Federation’s 2026 agenda centers on labor stability, biosecurity, and economic resilience for family farms. Expanded DMC coverage improves risk protection for dairy operations facing tighter margins.