U.S. Immigration Policy Shifts Could Reshape Farm Labor Supply

Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.

immigration statue of liberty adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Changes in immigration policy could significantly reshape the U.S. agricultural labor force in 2026, with potential shifts away from undocumented workers toward expanded use of H-2A guest workers. Economists with North Carolina State Extension say agriculture remains especially vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on foreign labor.

Foreign workers make up roughly two-thirds of the farm labor force, with undocumented workers accounting for about 40 percent of hired crop labor. Tighter enforcement policies could reduce that workforce, particularly in labor-intensive regions like California, Florida, and the Southeast.

The H-2A program continues to expand, with more than 300,000 visas issued in 2024. Recent program changes — including adjustments to wage calculations and the introduction of skill-based pay tiers — are expected to lower wage requirements in many states and encourage greater use of the program.

While increased H-2A participation could offset some labor losses, challenges remain. Costs, administrative burdens, and long-term labor availability continue to concern producers.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Farmers across the U.S. are under immense pressure lately, and specialty crop growers are no exception.

The Georgia Fruit and Vegetable Growers Association is putting the spotlight on trade as farmers explain what they are facing in today’s farm economy. Produce is big business in Georgia, with the USDA reporting that there are around 3,000 to 4,000 farms there dedicated to specialty crops.

Related Stories
New guidance supports transparency, consumer trust, and American ranchers
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains how conflict in the Middle East is affecting spring planting as farmers navigate the evolving situation.
NCGA Chief Economist Krista Swanson discusses the evolving role of ethanol in the current energy crisis, opportunities for expanding corn discusses the evolving role of ethanol in the current marketdemand, and the industry’s outlook moving forward.
Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins surveys Nebraska wildfire damage as cattle losses, tight supplies, rising imports, and beef industry investigations impact U.S. markets. Roger McEowen outlines legal and tax considerations for ranchers recovering from wildfire damage.
Nebraska Cattle Rancher Joe Van Newkirk shares his firsthand insight on devastating wildfires in the Sandhills, discusses challenges facing ranchers, long-term calf health concerns, and the recovery efforts underway.
E15 policy could shape future corn demand outlook.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Diversification is critical as conservation reshapes rural economies.
Herd contraction remains gradual across North America.
Strong land values continue masking tighter farm finances.
Tight supplies continue supporting strong cull values.
China’s stricter inspection rules prompt Cargill to pause soybean exports from Brazil, briefly lifting U.S. soybean prices as traders anticipate potential shifts in global trade, as export demand remains supportive across all major U.S. commodities.
Suderman joins Tony St. James in the RFD Studios to discuss how geopolitical tensions are triggering global transport disruptions, new inflation pressures, and other challenges for agriculture to navigate.