USDA Releases Final Grain Stocks Estimates

The Final Grain Stocks Report may be the last key figures we see if a government shutdown halts future updates.

WASHINGTON (RFD-TV) — The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its Final Grain Stocks Report on Tuesday, providing key figures that may be the last we see if a government shutdown halts future updates.

CommodityEstimatesTrade Guess
Corn1.53 BB1.34 BB
Soy316 MB323 MB
Wheat2.12 BB2.04 BB

While soybean growers work to bring in this year’s crop, selling it remains a challenging task. The American Soybean Association warns that the U.S. is losing competitiveness after China recently turned to Argentina for supplies.

“If we can be competitive with beans, we can get them moved like they did with Argentina,” says ASA Vice President Scott Metzger. “Those could’ve easily been our beans going over there. It shows that if that opportunity is there, China is willing to buy.”

The grain trade says the numbers underscore broader concerns as China steps back from U.S. purchases. The National Corn Growers Association calls the situation a “four-alarm fire” and is urging Congress to act quickly to remove market barriers.

Related Stories
Livestock profits are propping up overall sentiment, but crop producers remain cautious amid tight margins and uncertain policy signals.
RaboResearch says China’s pivot from mass production to innovation-driven growth could reshape global pesticide supply chains — and influence prices and product access for U.S. farmers in the coming years.
Farmers for Free Trade Executive Director Brian Kuehl shares more about the tour to gather farmers’ insights on the economic challenges they face in the ag economy.
Recent U.S.–China trade developments provided a small lift for soy markets, though most traders are waiting for concrete purchase data before making major moves.
Wheat futures briefly hit a three-month high before retreating as the markets wait for word on whether the deal will actually happen.
According to Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins, the top three soy-crushing companies in Bangladesh agreed to buy $1 billion worth of U.S. soybeans over the next year.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Trade volatility and shifting export destinations increase marketing risk for producers heading into 2026.
Rising rural business confidence supports local ag economies, but taxes and labor shortages remain key constraints.
The Midland County Junior Livestock Show in West Texas features a competitive steer showcase highlighting top-quality cattle and the accomplishments of driven youth exhibitors.
CoBank Knowledge Exchange’s Jeff Johnston shares the group’s positive perspective on expanding data centers into rural areas and weighs the risks and rewards for those communities.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer discusses how January’s WASDE report could impact ARC and PLC payments and updates on disaster relief programs as farmers navigate a challenging market environment.
Texas Commissioner of Agriculture Sid Miller joined us to discuss data center expansion, farmland preservation, rural economic impacts, and imminent cattle biosecurity concerns affecting agriculture today.