USMCA Review Could Reshape Agriculture, Rural Trade Outlook

RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains why the 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. agricultural producers could face meaningful changes to North American trade rules as the Trump Administration prepares for the first six-year review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in mid-2026. In testimony to Congress, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the administration will not support a “rubberstamp” renewal of USMCA unless long-standing shortcomings — many of them affecting farmers and ranchers — are resolved.

Greer told lawmakers that while the USMCA has increased U.S. trade with Canada and Mexico since 2020, it has not fully corrected structural disadvantages for U.S. producers. Agricultural concerns featured prominently in public comments and hearings, including Canadian dairy market access, Mexico’s seasonal produce exports, country-of-origin labeling for beef, and the need to preserve science-based sanitary and phytosanitary rules.

For rural America, Mexico’s role is especially critical. Mexico has absorbed a growing share of U.S. exports as trade with China shifted. Still, Greer warned that Mexican policies encouraging third-country inputs, weak labor enforcement, and energy reforms have eroded U.S. competitiveness. Canada’s continued restrictions on dairy imports and provincial alcohol barriers were also flagged.

The Trump Administration says it will press for firm changes during the review and will recommend extending the USMCA only if agriculture and supply-chain concerns are addressed.

Farm-Level Takeaway: The 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

The U.S. Trade Representative’s Office also recently released a list of trade issues to be resolved with Canada ahead of USMCA talks this summer.

Host of RealAg Radio, Shaun Haney, joined on Tuesday’s Market Day Report with the latest. In his interview with RFD-TV News, Haney discussed what was included on the list and why all three countries are seeking the best possible deal; why Canadian Prime Minister Carney said an agreement will not come quickly, and whether that could jeopardize other talks around the USMCA. He also shared a takeaway related to agriculture following Greer’s recent media appearance.

Related Stories
Lower tariff rates and new rail-service proposals may improve corn movement efficiency during early-season marketing.
Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Early Cattle-on-Feed estimates point to slightly tighter cattle supplies, reinforcing the need to monitor prices and timing for winter marketing.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.
Experts say farmers and ethanol producers would benefit from a risk-based ILUC system that protects forests without relying on speculative modeling.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Brent Graves, auctioneer and mentor, shares his journey supporting youth in agriculture, livestock competitions, and how he is turning junior livestock auctions into a classroom for youth in agriculture.
China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
USDA flash corn sales, Cattle on Feed and Inventory reports, and beef packer antitrust concerns dominate January agricultural market news.
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins said permanent access to the higher ethanol blend would provide farmers with much-needed certainty while supporting domestic crop demand.
Larger grain stocks increase supply pressure, but strong fall disappearance — especially for corn and sorghum — suggests demand remains an important offset.
Record corn and sorghum crops boost feed grain supplies, while reduced soybean and cotton production tighten outlooks for oilseeds and fiber markets.