USMCA Review Could Reshape Agriculture, Rural Trade Outlook

RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains why the 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. agricultural producers could face meaningful changes to North American trade rules as the Trump Administration prepares for the first six-year review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in mid-2026. In testimony to Congress, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the administration will not support a “rubberstamp” renewal of USMCA unless long-standing shortcomings — many of them affecting farmers and ranchers — are resolved.

Greer told lawmakers that while the USMCA has increased U.S. trade with Canada and Mexico since 2020, it has not fully corrected structural disadvantages for U.S. producers. Agricultural concerns featured prominently in public comments and hearings, including Canadian dairy market access, Mexico’s seasonal produce exports, country-of-origin labeling for beef, and the need to preserve science-based sanitary and phytosanitary rules.

For rural America, Mexico’s role is especially critical. Mexico has absorbed a growing share of U.S. exports as trade with China shifted. Still, Greer warned that Mexican policies encouraging third-country inputs, weak labor enforcement, and energy reforms have eroded U.S. competitiveness. Canada’s continued restrictions on dairy imports and provincial alcohol barriers were also flagged.

The Trump Administration says it will press for firm changes during the review and will recommend extending the USMCA only if agriculture and supply-chain concerns are addressed.

Farm-Level Takeaway: The 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

The U.S. Trade Representative’s Office also recently released a list of trade issues to be resolved with Canada ahead of USMCA talks this summer.

Host of RealAg Radio, Shaun Haney, joined on Tuesday’s Market Day Report with the latest. In his interview with RFD-TV News, Haney discussed what was included on the list and why all three countries are seeking the best possible deal; why Canadian Prime Minister Carney said an agreement will not come quickly, and whether that could jeopardize other talks around the USMCA. He also shared a takeaway related to agriculture following Greer’s recent media appearance.

Related Stories
Dr. Rosslyn Biggs with the Oklahoma State University Center for Rural Veterinary Medicine shares insight into biosecurity, preparedness, and animal health concerns facing livestock producers as New World screwworm outbreaks continue in Mexico.
Tennessee Rep. John Rose joined us to pay tribute to his friend and colleague, Rep. Doug LaMalfa, a true Champion of Rural America.
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and U.S. Department of Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins today released the Dietary Guidelines for Americans, 2025–2030.
China continues to buy U.S. soybeans toward its 12 MMT commitment, as analysts cite data gaps, delivery timing questions, and muted market reaction.
Seasonal boxed beef softness does not change the tight-supply outlook — leverage remains closer to the farm gate heading into 2026.
Trade uncertainty—especially regarding soybeans—continues to weigh on future outlooks, even as farm finances and land values remain resilient.
Strong export demand supports feed grain prices, but drought risk and seasonal patterns favor disciplined early-year marketing.
Roger McEowen with the Washburn University School of Law joined us to provide legal insight and context on these issues facing agriculture. Today, he discusses pesticide litigation.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Jack Hubbard, with the Center for the Environment and Welfare, shares context and perspective on the controversial letter about Prop 12 circulating in Washington and how a review shows it misled the public.
AFBF Economist Faith Parum discusses the financial challenges currently facing farmers and the Farm Bureau’s 2026 outlook for the farm economy.
Moderate oil prices may ease fuel costs, but continued caution in the energy sector could limit rural economic growth.
Decoupled base acres may amplify income inequality and distort planting decisions as farm program payments increase.
From tariff talks in Europe to SCOTUS uncertainty and rising farm losses, analysts say policy and global supply will shape grain markets in the year ahead.
Large Brazilian crops heighten downside price risk if the weather allows production to reach projected levels.