USMCA Review Could Reshape Agriculture, Rural Trade Outlook

RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains why the 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. agricultural producers could face meaningful changes to North American trade rules as the Trump Administration prepares for the first six-year review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in mid-2026. In testimony to Congress, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the administration will not support a “rubberstamp” renewal of USMCA unless long-standing shortcomings — many of them affecting farmers and ranchers — are resolved.

Greer told lawmakers that while the USMCA has increased U.S. trade with Canada and Mexico since 2020, it has not fully corrected structural disadvantages for U.S. producers. Agricultural concerns featured prominently in public comments and hearings, including Canadian dairy market access, Mexico’s seasonal produce exports, country-of-origin labeling for beef, and the need to preserve science-based sanitary and phytosanitary rules.

For rural America, Mexico’s role is especially critical. Mexico has absorbed a growing share of U.S. exports as trade with China shifted. Still, Greer warned that Mexican policies encouraging third-country inputs, weak labor enforcement, and energy reforms have eroded U.S. competitiveness. Canada’s continued restrictions on dairy imports and provincial alcohol barriers were also flagged.

The Trump Administration says it will press for firm changes during the review and will recommend extending the USMCA only if agriculture and supply-chain concerns are addressed.

Farm-Level Takeaway: The 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

The U.S. Trade Representative’s Office also recently released a list of trade issues to be resolved with Canada ahead of USMCA talks this summer.

Host of RealAg Radio, Shaun Haney, joined on Tuesday’s Market Day Report with the latest. In his interview with RFD-TV News, Haney discussed what was included on the list and why all three countries are seeking the best possible deal; why Canadian Prime Minister Carney said an agreement will not come quickly, and whether that could jeopardize other talks around the USMCA. He also shared a takeaway related to agriculture following Greer’s recent media appearance.

Related Stories
Ag leaders say President Donald Trump’s State of the Union is unlikely to spark major agriculture headlines, but ongoing tariff uncertainty and trade policy remain key concerns, as does the debate around glyphosate and the status of the next Farm Bill.
Higher output keeps milk supplies ample, reinforcing expectations for softer dairy prices even as feed costs remain favorable.
Expanded global trade access boosts long-term export demand potential for U.S. ag products.
Singer-songwriter and RanchHER Clare Dunn reflects on the importance of National FFA Week, her time in FFA, and her commitment to advocating for agriculture and rural issues.
Border closures tied to the threat of New World Screwworm continue to stall Mexican fed cattle imports, tightening U.S. feeder cattle supplies over time — triggering feedlot closures that hinder herd rebuilding efforts, threaten the beef supply chain, and shrink production while consumer prices stay elevated.
For the broader agricultural industry, a railroad antitrust case in Kansas could lead to the dismantling of legacy regulatory shields, creating a more fluid, market-driven transportation grid that prioritizes moving crops efficiently over protecting historic rail monopolies.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farm legal expert Roger McEowen discusses a new rail antitrust case in Kansas and its potential implications for farmers as rail upgrades signal continued export-driven demand for logistics.
Surging energy markets are quickly becoming a cost story for U.S. agriculture as crude oil climbs on supply fears tied to the Middle East conflict.
Strike risk adds volatility to already tight markets.
Technology-driven lending decisions may shape the future availability of farm credit.
Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.
Strong corn demand and cotton shipments support export outlook.