NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — A softer U.S. dollar is improving export competitiveness for American crops, offering potential price support without requiring lower farm-gate bids, according to economists with Texas A&M AgriLife Extension.
Because most global agricultural commodities are priced in dollars, exchange rates directly affect foreign buying power. When the dollar weakens, overseas buyers can purchase more U.S. grain and fiber using their local currency, often strengthening export demand and supporting domestic prices. The opposite occurs during a strong-dollar environment, which tends to slow export movement and pressure bids.
Farm-Level Takeaway: A weaker dollar supports export demand and may strengthen crop prices.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
During 2025, currency trends shifted in agriculture’s favor. The broad U.S. dollar index fell 7.2 percent after rising the previous year, while key customer currencies strengthened, including the euro and the Mexican peso. Brazil’s real also appreciated, potentially limiting Brazil’s ability to undercut U.S. offers in global markets.
Research shows even small currency moves matter. A one-percent decline in the dollar has historically been associated with roughly a half-percent increase in the value of U.S. agricultural exports.
Benefits, however, do not appear instantly. Exchange-rate effects filter unevenly into basis and contracts depending on timing and location.
Reduced winter placements indicate tighter fed cattle supplies and greater leverage during peak-demand months.
January 09, 2026 06:00 AM
·
AFBF Economist Faith Parum provides analysis and perspective on the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program—what commodity growers should know and potential remedies for producers facing crop losses where that aid falls short.
January 08, 2026 02:45 PM
·
In a post to social media, Trump said Venezuela will buy American agriculture products and will use the money from oil sales to make it happen.
January 08, 2026 11:51 AM
·
Farmer Bridge payments are being used primarily to reduce debt and protect cash flow, not drive new spending. Curt Blades with the Association of Equipment Manufacturers joined us to provide insight into the ag equipment market and the factors influencing sales.
January 08, 2026 08:00 AM
·
Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
January 08, 2026 06:00 AM
·
Retail pricing confirms tight cattle supplies and supports continued leverage for producers, reinforcing the need for disciplined risk management.
January 07, 2026 06:00 PM
·
China continues to buy U.S. soybeans toward its 12 MMT commitment, as analysts cite data gaps, delivery timing questions, and muted market reaction.
January 07, 2026 11:50 AM
·
Long-term demand uncertainty is reshaping specialty crop strategies as producers adapt to fewer, older consumers.
January 07, 2026 08:01 AM
·
Seasonal boxed beef softness does not change the tight-supply outlook — leverage remains closer to the farm gate heading into 2026.
January 07, 2026 06:00 AM
·
