Weekly State Crop, Livestock & Agribusiness Update — Monday, December 22, 2025

Markets Specialist Tony St. James outlines the state of agribusiness this week with a state-by-state look at crop and livestock production conditions across the U.S.

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — This week, producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus. Ice, flooding, and low water reshaped grain movement, while livestock and dairy markets sent mixed signals heading into the final weeks of 2025.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton harvest winds down across the High Plains; gins are managing throughput amid cold snaps. Wheat stands mixed under dry La Niña patterns; feeder demand firm as hay and diesel remain watch points.
  • Oklahoma — Wheat pasture limited by moisture; fall calves moving steadily. Input pricing and freight costs guide winter planning.
  • Kansas — Wheat seeded; emergence uneven where moisture was missed. Interior corn basis supported by export pace; feedyards are active.
  • Nebraska — Corn and soybean movement steady; ethanol demand supportive. Propane and rail availability monitored amid cold.
  • North & South Dakota — Harvest complete; basis stronger away from the river. Calf runs seasonally strong with feed availability shaping bids.

Midwest

  • Iowa — River ice slows barge options; rail picks up slack. Ethanol production at record levels supports corn demand despite tight margins.
  • Illinois — Illinois River ice requires couplings; interior basis firmer than the Gulf. Fertilizer pricing is sticky.
  • Minnesota & Wisconsin — Corn movement steady; dairy margins tightening as milk prices slide. Feed costs are rising.
  • Michigan — Processing demand supports grain; fuel costs ease slightly.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Soybeans and rice largely wrapped up; barge flow uneven but functional.
  • Louisiana — Export loadings are active despite fewer vessels; freight costs remain elevated.
  • Mississippi — Grain movement steady; logistics monitored amid river levels.
  • Georgia & Alabama — Cotton harvest finishing; peanuts mostly complete. Input inflation persists.
  • Florida — Trucking costs remain a concern for specialty crops and feed.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Forage and water planning dominate winter outlooks.
  • Colorado & Utah — Wheat stands variable; diesel and fertilizer costs pressure budgets.
  • California — Specialty crop growers face labor and trade headwinds; logistics costs remain top concern.
  • Nevada — Hay movement slows seasonally; water planning extends into 2026.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Flooding briefly disrupted rail access to export terminals; service restored. Grain inspections remain above average.
  • Idaho — Rail movement steady; feedlots managing corn costs.
  • Montana — Hay supplies adequate; wheat acres monitored under dry conditions.
  • Wyoming — Winter logistics and feed access in focus.

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Dairy producers reassessing risk management as milk prices fall. Feed and energy costs guide winter budgets.
  • Maryland & Delaware — Soybean movement steady; freight costs remain elevated.
  • New EnglandSpecialty crop sales support cash flow; winter energy planning underway.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Michigan — Sugar beets, dry beans, and soybeans share transport lanes; dairy margins are strained.
  • Wisconsin — Basis steady near feed mills; fuel relief modest.
  • Ohio — Corn and soy mostly complete; inland basis stronger than river.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Feed and fuel shipments critical ahead of deep winter; freight costs elevated.
  • U.S. Territories — Logistics delays persist; small-scale ag continues under high transport premiums.
Related Stories
For tight margins, contract grazing leverages existing acres into new income streams and spreads risk. Here are some tips for row crop farmers looking to diversify.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer shares insight into what these new accounts, established in provisions of the Big, Beautiful Bill, could mean for the farm families.
AFBF Economist Danny Munch shares how passing the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act could give the dairy industry a needed boost.
It started as a simple service project for 4-H — collect some shoes, help a few people. But for Franklin Parish High School senior Eli Rogers, it has turned into something much bigger.
Texas Cattle Feeders Association Chairman Robby Kirkland explains how the ongoing U.S.-Mexico border closure impacts feed yards that rely on Mexican cattle due to the New World Screwworm.
Global nitrogen and phosphate prices remain high despite improved supply fundamentals, with limited Chinese exports and stronger fall applications tightening availability.
Record output, larger stocks, and softer exports point to a well-supplied domestic ethanol market as harvest progresses.
RFD-TV expert Roger McEowen explains why a “skinny” Farm Bill is likely in the future, but its scope may change due to provisions contained in the Big, Beautiful Bill.
U.S. sugar producers and processors should brace for price pressure and challenging export logistics with global sugar supply ramping up — driven by Brazil, India, and Thailand — especially at the raw processing level.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Imported lean beef continues to play a critical role in U.S. hamburger and ground-beef production, with any added volume from Argentina serving as a supplement — not a market overhaul.
A fast-moving series of trade signals from the White House and key partners is resetting the near-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.
Stay alert for trade announcements—especially border reopening timelines, tariff threats, and developments in Brazil’s export flows.
Margin Protection and the new MCO add county-level margin tools — with earlier price discovery, input cost triggers, and high subsidy rates — to complement on-farm risk plans for 2026.
For aging operators and their rural neighbors, staying socially engaged is a practical strategy to preserve decision-making capacity and farm vitality.
Until a phased reopening is inked, plan for tighter feeder availability, firmer basis near border yards, and continued reliance on domestic and Canadian sources.