Wheat Freight Costs Challenge Stronger Japanese Export Outlook

Higher ocean freight rates continue adding pressure to U.S. wheat exports despite stronger demand projections.

Aerial of cargo ship carrying container for export cargo from cargo yard port to other ocean concept smart freight shipping ship front view_Photo by Yellow Boat via AdobeStock_1601867486.jpg

Aerial of a cargo ship carrying a container of exports.

Photo by Yellow Boat via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TN (RFD NEWS) — Transportation costs remain a major hurdle for U.S. wheat moving to Japan, even as USDA projects stronger wheat exports this marketing year.

USDA’s Grain Transportation Report shows freight accounted for 35 to 39 percent of first-quarter landed costs from Kansas and North Dakota.

Converted to bushels, transportation costs ranged from about $2.65 per bushel for Kansas wheat moving through the Pacific Northwest to $3.56 per bushel for North Dakota wheat shipped through the Gulf. Total landed costs ranged from about $7.44 to $9.04 per bushel.

Ocean freight increased from a year earlier, rising 14 percent through Pacific Northwest routes and 19 percent through Gulf routes. Higher bunker fuel costs and strong Asian shipping demand contributed to those increases.

Even with higher freight pressure, lower farm values kept total landed costs below last year across all four routes. North Dakota wheat moving through the Gulf remained the most expensive route.

USDA projects 2025/26 wheat exports near 910 million bushels, up 10 percent from the previous year, making transportation costs and export competitiveness increasingly important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Stronger wheat exports help demand, but high freight costs continue to limit producer competitiveness in overseas markets.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Coal-based ethanol could weaken long-term export demand for corn-based fuels.
Strong corn and China-driven demand support the pace of U.S. grain exports. RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney discusses Canada-China agricultural trade talks.
Tight global supply is likely to keep fuel and fertilizer costs elevated.
Improving dairy prices could support stronger milk checks later this year.
The sugar policy debate affects prices, trade, and farm stability.
Cattle producers face mounting pressure as U.S.-Mexico trade talks resume, but expanding drought, rising input costs, and policy work to improve the long-term industry outlook.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Hemp growth is driven by floral demand, with mixed returns elsewhere.
Tight supply and logistics issues may raise input costs.
Farm programs remain small but politically easier to expand.
Export funding aims to strengthen global demand for U.S. commodities.
Dairy markets are improving, but large supplies still cap the upside.
Investment and access to capital remain critical for agriculture.