Wheat Freight Costs Rise as Plains Crop Shrinks

Southern Plains wheat shippers face higher rail fuel surcharges as hard red winter wheat production falls toward a nearly 70-year low.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Southern Plains wheat shippers face higher rail fuel surcharges as hard red winter wheat production falls toward a nearly 70-year low. USDA’s Grain Transportation Report says BNSF and Union Pacific made only modest tariff changes for the 2026/27 marketing year, but fuel costs are rising sharply.

The biggest change is the fuel surcharge. USDA says BNSF’s June surcharge will rise to 46 cents per mile, up from 8 cents last June. Union Pacific’s surcharge will rise to 69 cents per mile, up from 30 cents.

That increase can add real cost to wheat movement. For Wichita-to-Houston shipments, USDA says higher fuel surcharges mean a $251-per-car increase for Union Pacific and a $387-per-car increase for BNSF.

The higher freight cost comes as USDA forecasts hard red winter wheat production at 515 million bushels, down 36 percent from last year and the smallest crop since 1957/58. Drought and a late-season freeze drove the decline.

Large old-crop ending stocks may still support transportation demand, but lower production and higher freight costs will shape movement.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Wheat shippers may face higher rail costs even as drought sharply reduces Southern Plains production.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Corn and wheat exports continue to outperform last year, while soybeans show steady but subdued movement compared to 2024.
Grain farms still have strong balance sheets, but another stretch of low profits will force hard cost cuts, especially on high-rent, highly leveraged operations.
Mold damage is tightening China’s corn supplies, supporting higher prices and creating potential demand for alternative feed grains in early 2026.
Joe Peiffer with Ag & Business Legal Strategies advises farmers on end-of-year financial planning, including preparing records, avoiding common credit mistakes, and evaluating equipment purchases for 2026.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.
If confirmed, early Chinese buys tighten nearby Gulf/PNW capacity and could bump basis in export-oriented regions.
Trade pacts with Malaysia and Cambodia unlock tariff-free and preferential lanes for key U.S. farm goods, expanding long-term demand in Southeast Asia.
The review signals renewed scrutiny of China’s agricultural trade pledges and could reshape farm export opportunities depending on its outcome.
The U.S.-Japan tech pact signals long-term investment in bio-innovation, connectivity, and secure supply chains — all of which can strengthen rural manufacturing, ag exports, and digital infrastructure critical to the next generation of farm productivity.
Export volumes remain positive year-to-date, but weaker soybean loadings and slowing wheat movement hint at early bottlenecks in global demand or river logistics. Farmers should watch basis levels and freight conditions as export competition heats up.