Higher interest rates have taken a toll on Rural America. While most farmers would like them to come down, it is looking more and more unlikely.
Economist Ben Brown says they could inch up before they come back down:
“Given the inflation data that we’ve seen both at the consumer level and at the wholesale level the last couple of months, I have a really hard time seeing how the Fed can just maintain interest rates where they’re at—and certainly I wouldn’t remove the possibility of an interest rate hike here before May or June,” Brown said. “To look at last week’s inflation data, the Consumer Price Index came up month-over-month higher than even what the expectations are. That’s the third straight month that we’ve seen inflation come in hotter than expected, and the Producer Price Index was also up, signaling that wholesale inflation will eventually trickle down to consumer inflation as well, so I do think we’re seeing the prices increase faster than they expected. I think that’s got the Federal Reserve a little bit concerned.”
Ben Brown, Economist
This month’s inflation reports both came in hotter than expected, showing high prices remain sticky. Brown says he believes prices are still rising faster than expected, and that could lead the Fed to take action in the coming weeks.
Related Stories
Roger McEowen explains the concept of “lawfare” — the use of legal systems to intimidate or financially exhaust an opponent — which grew into a central theme of U.S. ag law in 2025.
Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
Justin Wheeler with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers joined us with insight into current farmland values and what to watch in the year ahead.
USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg joined us with a recap of the Malaysia trade mission and a look at USDA’s broader trade strategy moving forward.
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
Greater transparency into USDA-backed lending can help rural lenders and producers better assess credit availability and investment trends.