Ag at a ‘Breaking Point': Farm Survey Signals Growing Stress Across U.S. Agriculture

Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.

Cotton Plant. Cotton picker working in a large cotton field_Photo by MagioreStockStudio via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by MagioreStockStudio via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farmers are increasingly concerned about long-term profitability and global competitiveness, as rising input costs and weaker margins continue to pressure operations across the country.

A new survey from the Southern Cotton Ginners Association, conducted at the Mid-South Farm & Gin Show, found more than 52 percent of respondents expect to be worse off within two years, while only 9 percent anticipate improvement. Over 75 percent believe U.S. agriculture has lost competitiveness in the past five years, with many pointing to Brazil’s lower costs, fewer regulations, and larger production scale as key advantages.

The cost-price squeeze remains a central concern. More than 80 percent of respondents identified commodity prices as a major issue, while 60 percent cited input costs as a primary pressure on margins. That combination is raising concerns about financial viability, with some producers indicating difficulty securing operating loans for the coming season.

Beyond farm-level economics, structural concerns are also emerging. Respondents highlighted consolidation among input suppliers and broader rural economic decline, including land leaving production and a decline in local operators.

Discussions at the event focused on potential solutions, including policy changes and incentives to support domestic production, but uncertainty remains elevated across the sector.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
A SCOTUS ruling on Trump’s tariffs could have long-term implications on the authority of future administrations to control U.S. trade policy, according to RFD-TV legal expert Roger McEowen.
The Sheinbaum–Rollins meeting signals progress, but the focus remains on fully containing screwworm before cross-border movement resumes.
The first-ever “MICHELIN Guide to the American South” awards stars to top restaurants across Georgia, Louisiana, the Carolinas, and Tennessee, and pinpoints the region as a global food destination for the first time.
Livestock profits are propping up overall sentiment, but crop producers remain cautious amid tight margins and uncertain policy signals.
RaboResearch says China’s pivot from mass production to innovation-driven growth could reshape global pesticide supply chains — and influence prices and product access for U.S. farmers in the coming years.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Shifts in energy demand will influence fuel, fertilizer, and input costs.
Summer fuel rules cap ethanol demand and limit corn upside.
Rising costs and tighter margins are shaping the 2026 outlook.
Oklahoma livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel helps us break down the April Cattle-on-Feed report and what it signals for herd rebuilding, supplies and prices moving forward.
Spring Weather Shapes Planting Pace Across U.S. Regions
Hemp growth is driven by floral demand, with mixed returns elsewhere.