Ag Economy Barometer: Farmer Sentiment Ticks Up in February, But Long-Term Confidence Remains Uncertain

Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier discusses the survey’s findings in February and broader signals in the months ahead.

2026BrandGuidep44-TractorAndHayRakeInField_emiel-molenaar-j8DsBudk96c-unsplash_1920x1080.jpg

WEST LAFAYETTE, IND. (RFD NEWS) — Farmer sentiment is showing a modest rebound, according to the latest Ag Economy Barometer, though concerns about the long-term outlook remain. Dr. Michael Langemeier, senior author of the report and professor at Purdue University, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to break down the latest findings.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Langemeier said the slight improvement in the barometer was driven by short-term factors, including market stabilization and policy-related developments. While the rebound was welcome, he noted that confidence in the longer-term agricultural outlook continues to soften as producers face margin pressure and ongoing uncertainty.

The February survey also revisited questions about farm growth plans, a component included annually since 2016. Langemeier said responses suggest many farmers remain cautious about expansion, reflecting tighter profitability expectations and elevated input costs.

This month’s survey included a question about the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program, with respondents indicating they plan to use payments primarily to strengthen working capital, manage debt, or stabilize cash flow amid continued financial pressure.

Producers were again asked whether they believe the U.S. is headed in the “right direction” or on the “wrong track.” Langemeier said opinions remain mixed, with little change from previous readings, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in the broader economic environment.

Overall, Langemeier characterized the latest results as cautiously optimistic in the short term, but he emphasized that long-term confidence will likely depend on improvements in profitability, policy clarity, and global market stability.

Fred Seamon, executive director of agricultural research at CME, also joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to further break down the report.

In his conversation, Seamon discussed the factors behind the slight increase in sentiment and highlighted what farmers are saying about their growth plans for 2026.

He also addressed responses related to the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program and how producers plan to use those payments. He reviewed expectations for agricultural exports and shared insights on how farmers perceive the direction of the U.S. economy, noting a decline in optimism compared with previous surveys.

Related Stories
The University of Georgia College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences recently opened its newest research and education center, once operated by the USDA.
Cargill’s beef processing plant in Schuyler, Nebraska, closed early Thursday due to a fire and ammonia leak.
Researchers at Iowa State University have identified a new strain of PED virus.
Researchers in Florida are a step closer to finding a possible cure for citrus canker.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Secretary Rollins is signaling a possible reopening of the southern border to Mexican feeder cattle as officials work to manage the threat of the New World Screwworm.
On this week’s Rural Health Matters, Dr. Jeffrey Gold raises awareness about Parkinson’s disease, shares insights on early detection, and offers guidance for patients and families in rural communities.
Nebraska Farm Bureau President Mark McHargue joined us to discuss wildfire recovery efforts in the state, impacts to agriculture, and conditions heading into the spring planting season.
USDA’s Quarterly Grain Stocks report shows increased supplies across all major commodities, with corn, soybeans, and wheat stocks all rising compared to a year ago. Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses producer and market sentiment ahead of the key report.
Tony St. James and StoneX’s Arlan Suderman provide real-time insight on the USDA’s annual Prospective Plantings report, which shows a shifting acreage across commodities, with farmers planning to cut back on corn and wheat while increasing soybean and cotton acres.
SBA Administrator Kelly Loeffler breaks down the Grocery Guarantee Program, its goals for expanding farmer access to capital, and its potential impact on food production and prices.