As Beef Prices Stay High, Economists Wonder: How Will It Impact Consumer Spending?

Beef demand could be influencing other economic sectors, as consumers adjust spending habits to prioritize higher-priced beef products.

KNOXVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Beef demand is proving resilient, holding strong even as retail prices hit record highs. With ongoing struggles in the broader farm economy, analysts say this trend is “remarkable,” pointing out that economic pressures have yet to slow consumer demand — at least for now.

Dr. Charles Martinez, Assistant Professor of Ag and Resource Economics at the University of Tennessee, described the situation as one to watch closely rather than panic over.

“I think it’s more of something to watch. " Dr. Martinez said. “You know, if we think about a traffic stoplight, we have green for go, red for stop, and a yellow for caution. I would put us currently in the yellow bucket in terms of whether there’s not necessarily a strong concern, which I would consider a red light. But, it’s more of something to watch, depending upon what industry you’re talking about, what segment of the economy you’re talking about.”

Dr. Martinez noted that beef demand could be influencing other economic sectors, as consumers adjust spending habits to prioritize higher-priced beef products.

“Beef in particular, I think right now — all market signals are showing [that] yes, prices are up, but demand is up, which is a good thing,” Martinez explained. “So that also indicates that we still have some ceiling to go in terms of demand. But the question is, how do they buy that product? Is it going to be with credit, and continue to drive up credit debt? Or is it going to be other forms in terms of their actual income? So, no real concerns right now, but definitely something to watch.”

The robust demand comes despite a 10-percent year-over-year decline in red meat production in August, highlighting the surprising strength of consumer appetite for beef even as supplies tighten.

For now, Martinez says the market still shows “ceiling to grow” in demand, though he advises the industry to keep a close eye on broader economic trends that could eventually affect purchasing power.

Related Stories
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is investing now to make markets less volatile for ranchers over the long term and more affordable for consumers, according to a press release.
Elizabeth Strom with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA) joined us to share the latest on harvest progress and market activity in her area.
“Farmers for Free Trade” warns that disaster is brewing as President Trump’s trade policy is causing farm input costs to rise even more.
NCBA CEO Colin Woodall says more conversations need to occur with stakeholders present surrounding President Trump’s proposal to lower consumer beef prices with Argentinian imports.
While artificial intelligence, or AI, is reshaping both jobs and messaging in agriculture, CoBank data suggests human expertise still matters.
Bubba and Amy Miller run Miller Cattle Company in Eros, Louisiana. After visiting other homesteading fairs, they decided to put on their own.
The new AFBF Women in Agriculture survey is accepting responses from women in the industry across the United States now through March 31.
University of Nebraska–Lincoln (UNL) representative Dr. Dirac Twidwell joins us with the latest on woody encroachment conservation efforts in the Great Plains.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Reed Marcum started hosting a toy drive in 2015. Since then, he has distributed thousands of toys across his home state of Oklahoma and in Texas and Arkansas. Now serving in the Army, Reed’s family and local 4-H chapter are running the event.
RFD-TV Farm Legal and Tax Expert Roger McEowen explains the basics of Low-Risk Credit in Farming, and how an understanding of the farm credit landscape lets producers tactfully approach debt.
Mike Steenhoek, with the Soy Transportation Commission, shares his outlook on current grain stocks and transportation lines amid bumper crops filling bins across the United States.
Renewable Fuels Association President & CEO Geoff Cooper explains their call for reciprocal duties on Chinese ag imports after China failed to meet past promises on ethanol production.
American soybean and corn leaders, along with Canada’s AgriFood sector, testified before the U.S. Trade Representative’s Office in support of the trade pact between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.
The FAO Food Price Index for November fell by more than 1 percent in November, marking the third straight month of declines.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.