Corn, Soybean Export Costs Shift With Freight Volatility

Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.

Corn-Soybeans_AlfRibeiro-AdobeStock_335629402_1920x1080.jpg

AlfRibeiro – stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. corn and soybean export economics shifted noticeably in the third quarter of 2025 as transportation costs rose from the previous quarter but remained lower than a year earlier, underscoring how logistics — not farm prices alone — continue to shape export competitiveness.

From the second to the third quarter, transportation costs from Minneapolis to Japan increased for both corn and soybeans through the U.S. Gulf and Pacific Northwest. The quarter-to-quarter rise was driven primarily by higher ocean freight rates, reflecting strong global bulk demand, seasonal shipping patterns, and temporary logistical constraints. Gulf-route transportation costs jumped 14 percent for both crops, fueled by an 18 percent increase in barge rates and a 17 percent rise in ocean freight, partially offset by slightly lower trucking costs.

Despite higher freight costs, total landed costs were cushioned by weaker farm values. Corn farm prices fell nearly 12 percent quarter to quarter, while soybean values declined about 3 percent. As a result, total landed costs through the Gulf fell 3 percent for corn and rose just 1 percent for soybeans.

Year over year, the picture was more favorable. Transportation costs declined modestly on both routes as truck, rail, and ocean freight rates eased. Total landed costs fell for both commodities, particularly soybeans, improving U.S. export competitiveness.

Inspection data confirmed strong Gulf export flows, while Pacific Northwest corn shipments surged on Asian demand. USDA projects corn exports will rise in 2025/26, while soybean exports are expected to decline.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
ock NH3 early, track China’s Oct. 15 call and any U.S. Russia-UAN action, stay nimble on urea, and budget cautiously for high-priced phosphate.
Expect business-as-usual for most container exports.
CoBank Lead Grains Economist Tanner Ehmke joins us to share insight and concerns over current grain storage capacity as export demand lags.
AFBF Associate Economist Samantha Ayoub joins us to dive into H-2A visa program changes and what can be done to ease the pressure on producers.
As the government shutdown pushes the farm economy closer to the brink, Sens. Grassley and Ernst of Iowa are raising their voices for agriculture.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Potash has seen the most significant decline, falling 11 percent over the same five-year period.
China’s buying decisions continue to be a critical factor in shaping cotton prices and export opportunities worldwide.
Lower inventories and cautious farrowing plans suggest tighter hog supplies into 2026, keeping producer margins sensitive to demand trends and health risks.
Secretary Rollins’ plan targets high costs, labor challenges, and export growth, delivering relief at home while building markets abroad.
Transportation challenges are mounting as droughts lower Mississippi River levels and push freight rates higher.
Waiting could risk leaving next year’s crop unprotected.