Experts: Dairy industry outlook could be improving based on strong butter demand, herd number trends

Falling feed costs and strong demand for butter could be good news for dairy farmers looking to get their finances back on track.

Dairy production has changed drastically over the last two decades. Falling feed costs and strong demand for butter could be good news for dairy farmers looking to get their finances back on track.

Jared Hutchins with the University of Illinois joined us Friday on the Market Day Report for a closer look at that data. In a conversation with RFD-TV News, Hutchins discussed some of the main regional production growth trends he is seeing and what they mean for future dairy production decisions, surprises in cow number trends, and provided insights on if there are potential limits on how much the U.S. herd can grow considering numbers have started to level off.

Researchers at the University of Illinois looked at several key traditional and modern dairy areas. It was not until 2008 that modern areas came within reach of traditional ones. Milk yields stayed relatively close to one another until around 2015. Last year, the yield gap narrowed to less than 100 pounds, and since 2014, traditional dairy states have almost tripled their average herd size

Dairy analyst Sabrina Sharp told Brownfield Ag News the outlook for milk prices is getting better. Butter production is up 3.6 percent this year and domestic demand is up eight percent. While prices are going up, she notes, the spike is usually short-lived. She recommends the DRP insurance program, which can protect prices close to breaking even. Sharp says tightening milk production worldwide could help raise farmer returns soon.

Related Stories
“I’m not sure where this bridge goes,” trader Brady Huck with Advanced Trading told RFD-TV News earlier this week.
Secretary Rollins also met with specialty crop producers at a local strawberry farm to discuss workforce needs and the Trump Administration’s recent wins related to significantly cutting the cost of H-2A labor for California farmers.
The report shows that, despite production challenges, dairy farmers are producing more milk with fewer resources per gallon across the industry.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Concerns over Chronic Wasting Disease are fueling a long-standing legal battle between Minnesota regulators and deer farmers. The case could soon reach the state’s Supreme Court with broader implications for agriculture.
The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA) and Public Lands Council (PLC) are praising the passage of a bill to delist gray wolves as an endangered species by the U.S. House last week.
Recent USDA export sales data show China has been active in the U.S. market, but analysts tell RFD-TV News that the timing is a key clue.
USDA Undersecretary Luke Lindberg told RFD-TV News that we can only guess what Congress will do down the road. Still, the USDA recognizes its responsibility to spend resources efficiently and effectively.
Tight feeder supplies and lower placements indicate continued support for the cattle market, with regional impacts heightened in Texas by reduced feeder imports.
National Land Realty’s Jeramy Stephens shares his outlook on farmland market trends, which remain under close watch as new federal assistance programs roll out — with experts analyzing potential impacts on land values, buying, and stability.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.