NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Fuel costs — and farm input expenses — may ease over the next two years as global oil supplies continue to outpace demand. The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects Brent crude to average about $58 per barrel in 2026 and $53 in 2027, down from roughly $69 in 2025 as inventories steadily grow.
The agency says petroleum production is expanding faster than consumption worldwide. Higher output targets from OPEC+ and rising production in Brazil, Guyana, and Argentina are adding barrels to the market while demand growth slows. At the same time, China is stockpiling crude oil, absorbing some supply but still contributing to rising global inventories.
Stocks are building in both harder-to-track non-OECD locations and traditional commercial storage across developed economies. As storage fills, the higher cost of holding excess crude typically pressures prices lower and slows future production growth.
For agriculture, the outlook indicates moderating diesel and fertilizer energy costs, but weaker ethanol margins if gasoline demand remains soft.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Lower oil prices may trim input costs but pressure biofuel demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
The EPA proposal laid out two options: fully reallocate all exempted volumes to the 2026–2027 standards, or reallocate half.
September 17, 2025 12:04 PM
·
The Fertilizer Research Act, reintroduced by Sens. Grassley, Ernst, and Baldwin, would direct the USDA to study and publish public reports on competition and pricing trends in the fertilizer market.
September 16, 2025 05:08 PM
·
Allowing year-round sales of E15 nationally could deliver billions in economic gains, according to a new study from the Renewable Fuels Association and National Corn Growers Association.
September 16, 2025 02:29 PM
·
Tariffs are pushing up input costs, with fertilizer prices rising $100 per ton and machinery costs climbing due to steel and parts duties.
September 15, 2025 12:21 PM
·
Year-round sales of E-15 are another major topic on Capitol Hill, which, according to Rep. Adrian Smith (R-NE), is one issue up for debate this session with significant bipartisan support.
September 15, 2025 12:09 PM
·
U.S. producers are holding off on equipment investments amid financial pressure, market uncertainty, a rising demand for diesel, and growing desperation for trade wins.
September 12, 2025 11:18 AM
·
