Global Wheat Outlook Remains Uncertain As Drought Relief Arrives Too Late for Some Crops

The next U.S. Drought Monitor is scheduled for release Thursday, providing an updated look at moisture conditions across the country.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Recent rains have improved drought conditions across parts of the United States, but USDA meteorologists say the moisture came too late to significantly improve this year’s winter wheat crop.

USDA meteorologist Brad Rippey says drought conditions have eased across portions of the Great Plains in recent weeks.

Drought coverage in sorghum production areas has fallen from a seasonal peak of 89 percent in May to 48 percent during the first week of July. Winter wheat production areas have also seen improvement, with drought coverage declining from 71 percent to 47 percent.

Despite those gains, Rippey says the timing of the rainfall has limited its impact on winter wheat yields, with much of the crop already too far along in its development to benefit.

The next U.S. Drought Monitor is scheduled for release Thursday, providing an updated look at moisture conditions across the country.

Weather is also creating uncertainty overseas. Crop analysts say production concerns in parts of the European Union could tighten global wheat supplies next year, but that doesn’t necessarily mean U.S. wheat exports will see a major boost.

Todd Hubbs of Oklahoma State University says higher shipping costs and strong competition from other exporting countries will make it difficult for the United States to gain market share in key importing regions, including Turkey and North Africa. While traditional buyers are expected to remain in the market for U.S. wheat, he says global competitiveness will continue to limit export opportunities.

Meanwhile, USDA’s latest Crop Progress report shows 47 percent of the U.S. winter wheat crop is rated poor to very poor. Updated crop condition ratings are expected with the next Crop Progress report.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

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