Grain Logistics Mixed As Rail Slows, Barges Rise

Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.

View of Panama Canal from cruise ship_Photo by Solarisys via AdobeStock_314732737.jpg

View of the Panama Canal from a cruise ship.

Photo by Solarisys via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — U.S. grain transportation showed mixed signals late in February as rail volumes softened while barge activity and export shipping remained firm, reflecting shifting logistics demand across export corridors.

Rail traffic weakened week-to-week but remained strong overall. U.S. Class I railroads originated 28,838 grain carloads for the week ending February 21 — down 15 percent from the previous week but up 46 percent year over year and 22 percent above the three-year average. Secondary railcar markets tightened modestly, with March shuttle bids averaging $350 above tariff and non-shuttle bids averaging $29 above tariff.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Logistics remain firm, but freight costs continue to rise.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

River movements strengthened. Barged grain shipments totaled 579,122 tons for the week ending February 28, rising 16 percent from the previous week and 37 percent from last year. Downriver traffic also increased, with 406 barges moving south and unloadings in the New Orleans region up 8 percent.

Ocean demand stayed solid. Gulf exporters loaded 34 oceangoing vessels for the week ending February 26 — up 26 percent year over year — with 48 vessels scheduled in the following 10 days. Shipping rates to Japan were steady from the Gulf and slightly higher from the Pacific Northwest.

Fuel costs rose, with average diesel climbing to $3.897 per gallon, adding pressure to freight margins.

Related Stories
USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg joined us with a recap of the Malaysia trade mission and a look at USDA’s broader trade strategy moving forward.
Mike Steenhoek of the Soy Transportation Coalition shares how extreme winter weather is affecting the ag transportation network and what producers should keep in mind as conditions slowly improve.
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.
Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us with an update on the historic winter storm impacts and his outlook on today’s ag markets.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Smaller cow numbers and a declining calf crop point to prolonged tight cattle supplies, limiting near-term herd rebuilding potential.
Strong rail demand and higher fuel costs raise transportation risk even as barge and export flows stabilize.
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
Strong blending demand continues to support ethanol use even as production and exports fluctuate.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer helps producers navigate farm program payments and understand the key details farmers need to know.