LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD NEWS) — Grain movement remains active across export channels, but uneven demand and rising fuel costs are shaping marketing opportunities heading toward spring delivery windows.
Railroads originated 27,733 grain carloads for the week ending January 31 — 9 percent above last year and 6 percent above the three-year average. Secondary shuttle bids dropped sharply week to week, signaling adequate railcar supply.
River traffic improved but remained historically weak. Barged grain totaled 265,900 tons, up 40 percent from the prior week but still 57 percent below a year ago. Gulf unloads fell 13 percent, pointing to a slower export pull-through.
Ocean demand strengthened as 39 vessels loaded at the Gulf, 18 percent above last year. Freight to Japan increased to $53.75 per metric ton from the Gulf and $30 from the Pacific Northwest.
Diesel averaged $3.688 per gallon, slightly above last year, keeping shipping costs elevated into planting season.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Adequate transportation capacity exists, but fuel costs and soft river demand could widen basis risk.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Corn and wheat exports remain supportive, but weaker soybean demand — especially from China — continues to pressure oilseed markets.
December 16, 2025 12:08 PM
·
China’s pullback is hitting core U.S. commodities hard, reshaping export expectations for soybeans, cotton, grains, and livestock.
December 16, 2025 07:00 AM
·
Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.
December 16, 2025 06:00 AM
·
Fertilizer markets face uncertainty after President Trump raised the possibility of tariffs on Canadian imports, with analysts warning of supply and pricing risks. Josh Linville with StoneX provides a fertilizer industry outlook.
December 15, 2025 01:35 PM
·
A new study found that retaining the EPA’s half-RIN credit protects soybean demand, farm income, and crushing-sector strength while preserving biofuel market flexibility.
December 15, 2025 12:15 PM
·
“I’m not sure where this bridge goes,” trader Brady Huck with Advanced Trading told RFD-TV News earlier this week.
December 12, 2025 03:32 PM
·
Ethanol output softened, but underlying supply-and-demand trends indicate stable longer-term use despite short-term volatility in blending and exports.
December 12, 2025 11:47 AM
·
Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
December 12, 2025 11:42 AM
·
Stronger sorghum genetics could enhance the resilience of bioenergy crops and broaden production options for growers in harsher climates.
December 11, 2025 03:38 PM
·